Liga Portugal 2 · Mar 09, 2026 18:00
Benfica
PWR 52
Moreirense
PWR 45
Benfica
PWR 52
2-2
predicted
Moreirense
PWR 45
53% H
23% D
24% A
Final Verdict
Moreirense Win
Prediction
2-2
Score
42%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (22%)
0-0 (16%)
2-0 (15%)
1-1 (10%)
3-0 (7%)
0-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk33%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_POINTS_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)WR diff only 2% = 35.1% draw rateH2H: 4/10 draws (40%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (33.3%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Power & Form
Attack62
Defense52
Goals/G1.8
Conc/G1.4
Attack46
Defense51
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.4
Benfica Form
WDLWL
STABLE
Moreirense Form
DDDLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.527%
BTTS27%
Under 2.573%
Benfica Goals
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Moreirense Goals
0
64%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 73% | 27% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 48% | 52% | - |
| 3.5 | 26% | 74% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total2.6
Over 3.526%
BTTS Yes31%
Home Clean Sheet65%
Away Clean Sheet12%
Top Correct Scores:
2-0 (18%)
1-0 (16%)
3-0 (13%)
0-0 (8%)
2-1 (8%)
1-1 (7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Benficavs
0.44
MoreirenseDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum79%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#6
Benfica-5
Gap#1
Moreirense
WR 40% 81 pts
WR 37% 193 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica | 53 | 21 | 18 | 14 | 94 | 72 | 81 |
| Moreirense | 139 | 52 | 37 | 50 | 182 | 194 | 193 |
Benfica
10.0%
| Mar 02 | Benfica v GIL Vic… | 1-2 |
| Mar 01 | Benfica v Penafie… | 1-1 |
| Feb 25 | Benfica v Real Ma… | 2-1 |
| Feb 22 | Benfica v Damaien… | 0-4 |
| Feb 21 | Benfica v Moreire… | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Benfica v AVS | 3-0 |
| Feb 17 | Benfica v Real Ma… | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | Benfica v Felguei… | 4-2 |
| Feb 13 | Benfica v Santa C… | 1-2 |
| Feb 09 | Benfica v Portimo… | 1-1 |
Moreirense
6.0%
| Mar 02 | Moreire… v Felguei… | 0-0 |
| Mar 01 | Moreire… v Casa Pi… | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Moreire… v Pacos F… | 0-0 |
| Feb 28 | Moreire… v FC Porto | 0-3 |
| Feb 22 | Moreire… v Lusitân… | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Moreire… v União d… | 2-4 |
| Feb 21 | Moreire… v Benfica | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Moreire… v Sportin… | 0-3 |
| Feb 16 | Moreire… v Rio Ave… | 1-2 |
| Feb 15 | Moreire… v Pacos F… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Feb 21, 2026 | Moreirense | 1-0 | Benfica |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Moreirense | 0-4 | Benfica |
| Dec 06, 2025 | Benfica | 2-0 | Moreirense |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Moreirense | 0-2 | Benfica |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Benfica | 3-3 | Moreirense |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Moreirense | 3-2 | Benfica |
| Feb 08, 2025 | Benfica | 3-2 | Moreirense |
| Jan 27, 2025 | Moreirense | 1-1 | Benfica |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Benfica | 2-2 | Moreirense |
| Aug 30, 2024 | Moreirense | 1-1 | Benfica |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.