Liga Portugal 2 · Mar 07, 2026 15:30
Penafiel FC
PWR 35
Farense
PWR 35
Penafiel FC
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Farense
PWR 35
51% H
24% D
25% A
Final Verdict
Penafiel FC Win
Prediction
1-1
Score
35%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (32%)
1-0 (27%)
2-0 (11%)
0-1 (10%)
1-1 (8%)
2-1 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk33%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 33% at home = very high riskBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesCombined DR 67% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (32.9%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Penafiel FC Form
DDWWD
STABLE
Farense Form
WLLWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.511%
BTTS15%
Under 2.589%
Penafiel FC Goals
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Farense Goals
0
73%
1
23%
2
4%
3
0%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 69% | 31% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 32% | 68% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total1.2
Over 3.53%
BTTS Yes17%
Home Clean Sheet68%
Away Clean Sheet46%
Top Correct Scores:
0-0 (31%)
1-0 (24%)
0-1 (12%)
1-1 (9%)
2-0 (9%)
2-1 (4%)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
Penafiel FCvs
0.31
FarenseDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum67%
Standings52%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#14
Penafiel FC+1
Gap#15
Farense
WR 33% 28 pts
WR 33% 27 pts
Penafiel FC
14.0%
| Mar 01 | Penafie… v Benfica | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Penafie… v Felguei… | 0-0 |
| Feb 16 | Penafie… v Lusitân… | 2-0 |
| Feb 06 | Penafie… v Chaves | 0-1 |
| Jan 30 | Penafie… v Leixões… | 0-0 |
| Jan 25 | Penafie… v Moreire… | 2-1 |
| Jan 17 | Penafie… v Portimo… | 0-2 |
| Jan 04 | Penafie… v Pacos F… | 1-2 |
| Dec 21 | Penafie… v Moreire… | 1-0 |
| Dec 12 | Penafie… v FC Porto | 1-0 |
Farense
8.0%
| Mar 01 | Farense v Lusitân… | 2-1 |
| Feb 22 | Farense v Chaves | 2-0 |
| Feb 14 | Farense v Leixões… | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | Farense v Marítimo | 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | Farense v FC Porto | 2-3 |
| Jan 25 | Farense v Moreire… | 2-1 |
| Jan 17 | Farense v Moreire… | 0-0 |
| Jan 03 | Farense v Portimo… | 0-1 |
| Dec 28 | Farense v Pacos F… | 0-0 |
| Dec 21 | Farense v União d… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Oct 26, 2025 | Farense | 0-0 | Penafiel FC |
Key Factors
Farense struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.