La Liga · Mar 09, 2026 20:00
Espanyol
PWR 35
Oviedo
PWR 25
Espanyol
PWR 35
2-1
predicted
Oviedo
PWR 25
41% H
26% D
33% A
Final Verdict
Espanyol Win
Prediction
2-1
Score
63%
Confidence
GOLD
Stability GOLD
Stability GOLD
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (9%)
1-1 (9%)
2-0 (7%)
1-0 (7%)
3-1 (7%)
2-2 (6%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
Stability Protocol
GOLD · 3 rules · 63%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk22%
Accuracy73%
AWAY_LEAKINGPOSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team drew 2/5 recent gamesElevated draw risk (21.8%) - consider AHElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got GOLD/3 rules)
Power & Form
Attack35
Defense63
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.2
Attack16
Defense54
Goals/G0.5
Conc/G1.5
Espanyol Form
DLDLL
STABLE
Oviedo Form
LDLWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.565%
BTTS65%
Under 2.535%
Espanyol Goals
0
12%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Oviedo Goals
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 87% | 13% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 70% | 31% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 48% | 52% | - |
| 4.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 16% | 85% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total3.6
Over 3.548%
BTTS Yes67%
Home Clean Sheet24%
Away Clean Sheet12%
Top Correct Scores:
2-1 (9%)
1-1 (9%)
2-2 (7%)
3-1 (7%)
2-0 (6%)
1-2 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.10
Espanyolvs
1.35
OviedoDecision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum71%
Standings81%
Market50%
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#7
Espanyol+13
Gap#20
Oviedo
WR 46% 36 pts
WR 8% 17 pts
Espanyol
4.0%
| Mar 01 | Espanyol v Elche | 2-2 |
| Feb 21 | Espanyol v Atlétic… | 4-2 |
| Feb 14 | Espanyol v Celta d… | 2-2 |
| Feb 09 | Espanyol v Villarr… | 4-1 |
| Jan 30 | Espanyol v Alavés | 1-2 |
| Jan 24 | Espanyol v Valencia | 3-2 |
| Jan 16 | Espanyol v Girona | 0-2 |
| Jan 11 | Espanyol v Levante | 1-1 |
| Jan 03 | Espanyol v Barcelo… | 0-2 |
| Dec 22 | Espanyol v Athleti… | 1-2 |
Oviedo
6.0%
| Feb 28 | Oviedo v Atlétic… | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Oviedo v Real So… | 3-3 |
| Feb 15 | Oviedo v Athleti… | 1-2 |
| Jan 31 | Oviedo v Girona | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | Oviedo v Barcelo… | 3-0 |
| Jan 17 | Oviedo v Osasuna | 3-2 |
| Jan 10 | Oviedo v Real Be… | 1-1 |
| Jan 04 | Oviedo v Alavés | 1-1 |
| Dec 20 | Oviedo v Celta d… | 0-0 |
| Dec 14 | Oviedo v Sevilla… | 4-0 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Oct 17, 2025 | Oviedo | 0-2 | Espanyol |
| Jun 23, 2024 | Espanyol | 2-0 | Oviedo |
| Jun 16, 2024 | Oviedo | 1-0 | Espanyol |
| May 20, 2024 | Espanyol | 2-1 | Oviedo |
| May 20, 2024 | Espanyol | 2-1 | Oviedo |
| Dec 01, 2023 | Oviedo | 2-0 | Espanyol |
Key Factors
Espanyol struggling (3L in last 5)
Oviedo struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.