La Liga · Mar 08, 2026 13:00

Villarreal
PWR 43
4-1
predicted

Elche
PWR 34
59% H 22% D 19% A
Final Verdict
Villarreal Win
Prediction
4-1
Score
77%
Confidence
PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Most Likely Scores:
3-1 (7%) 3-0 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 2-0 (6%) 3-2 (4%) 1-1 (3%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 4 rules · 77%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy77%
AWAY_LEAKINGPOSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPTABLE_EXTREMES
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)H2H: 2/8 draws (25%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (25.7%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack56
Defense67
Goals/G1.9
Conc/G1.1
Attack41
Defense56
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.5
Villarreal Form LWWLW
STABLE
Elche Form DLDLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.567%
BTTS63%
Under 2.533%
Villarreal Goals
0
2%
1
8%
2
16%
3
20%
4
20%
Elche Goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
6%
4
2%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 98% 2% OVER
1.5 90% 10% OVER
2.5 75% 25% OVER
3.5 55% 45% -
4.5 35% 65% -
5.5 20% 80% UNDER
6.5 10% 90% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total3.9
Over 3.555%
BTTS Yes72%
Home Clean Sheet21%
Away Clean Sheet10%
Top Correct Scores:
2-1 (9%) 1-1 (7%) 2-2 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 1-2 (6%) 2-0 (5%)
Expected Goals (xG)
3.85
Villarreal
vs
1.02
Elche
Decision Breakdown
S75+DR<25 (81.8%)GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)CS65+DR<30 (68.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings90%
Market50%
League Standings
#4
Villarreal
+13
Gap
#17
Elche
WR 77% 51 pts WR 0% 26 pts
Villarreal 12.0%
Feb 28 Villarr… v Barcelo… 4-1
Feb 22 Villarr… v Valencia 2-1
Feb 18 Villarr… v Levante 0-1
Feb 14 Villarr… v Getafe 2-1
Feb 09 Villarr… v Espanyol 4-1
Jan 31 Villarr… v Osasuna 2-2
Jan 28 Villarr… v Bayer L… 3-0
Jan 24 Villarr… v Real Ma… 0-2
Jan 20 Villarr… v Ajax 1-2
Jan 17 Villarr… v Real Be… 2-0
Elche 4.0%
Mar 01 Elche v Espanyol 2-2
Feb 20 Elche v Athleti… 2-1
Feb 13 Elche v Osasuna 0-0
Feb 07 Elche v Real So… 3-1
Jan 31 Elche v Barcelo… 1-3
Jan 23 Elche v Levante 3-2
Jan 19 Elche v Sevilla… 2-2
Jan 14 Elche v Real Be… 2-1
Jan 10 Elche v Valencia 1-1
Jan 03 Elche v Villarr… 1-3
Head-to-Head (8)
Jan 03, 2026 Elche 1-3 Villarreal
Mar 10, 2024 Villarreal 0-1 Elche
Feb 04, 2023 Elche 3-1 Villarreal
Sep 04, 2022 Villarreal 4-0 Elche
Jan 16, 2022 Elche 1-0 Villarreal
Sep 22, 2021 Villarreal 4-1 Elche
Feb 06, 2021 Elche 2-2 Villarreal
Dec 06, 2020 Villarreal 0-0 Elche
Key Factors
Villarreal in strong form (3W in last 5)
Elche struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.