La Liga · Mar 08, 2026 13:00

Villarreal
PWR 43

Elche
PWR 34

Villarreal
PWR 43
4-1
predicted

Elche
PWR 34
59% H
22% D
19% A
Final Verdict
Villarreal Win
Prediction
4-1
Score
77%
Confidence
PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Most Likely Scores:
3-1 (7%)
3-0 (7%)
2-1 (6%)
2-0 (6%)
3-2 (4%)
1-1 (3%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 4 rules · 77%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy77%
AWAY_LEAKINGPOSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPTABLE_EXTREMES
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)H2H: 2/8 draws (25%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (25.7%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack56
Defense67
Goals/G1.9
Conc/G1.1
Attack41
Defense56
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.5
Villarreal Form
LWWLW
STABLE
Elche Form
DLDLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.567%
BTTS63%
Under 2.533%
Villarreal Goals
0
2%
1
8%
2
16%
3
20%
4
20%
Elche Goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
6%
4
2%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 55% | 45% | - |
| 4.5 | 35% | 65% | - |
| 5.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total3.9
Over 3.555%
BTTS Yes72%
Home Clean Sheet21%
Away Clean Sheet10%
Top Correct Scores:
2-1 (9%)
1-1 (7%)
2-2 (7%)
3-1 (7%)
1-2 (6%)
2-0 (5%)
Expected Goals (xG)
3.85
Villarrealvs
1.02
ElcheDecision Breakdown
S75+DR<25 (81.8%)GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)CS65+DR<30 (68.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings90%
Market50%
League Standings
#4
Villarreal+13
Gap#17
Elche
WR 77% 51 pts
WR 0% 26 pts
Villarreal
12.0%
| Feb 28 | Villarr… v Barcelo… | 4-1 |
| Feb 22 | Villarr… v Valencia | 2-1 |
| Feb 18 | Villarr… v Levante | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | Villarr… v Getafe | 2-1 |
| Feb 09 | Villarr… v Espanyol | 4-1 |
| Jan 31 | Villarr… v Osasuna | 2-2 |
| Jan 28 | Villarr… v Bayer L… | 3-0 |
| Jan 24 | Villarr… v Real Ma… | 0-2 |
| Jan 20 | Villarr… v Ajax | 1-2 |
| Jan 17 | Villarr… v Real Be… | 2-0 |
Elche
4.0%
| Mar 01 | Elche v Espanyol | 2-2 |
| Feb 20 | Elche v Athleti… | 2-1 |
| Feb 13 | Elche v Osasuna | 0-0 |
| Feb 07 | Elche v Real So… | 3-1 |
| Jan 31 | Elche v Barcelo… | 1-3 |
| Jan 23 | Elche v Levante | 3-2 |
| Jan 19 | Elche v Sevilla… | 2-2 |
| Jan 14 | Elche v Real Be… | 2-1 |
| Jan 10 | Elche v Valencia | 1-1 |
| Jan 03 | Elche v Villarr… | 1-3 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Jan 03, 2026 | Elche | 1-3 | Villarreal |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Villarreal | 0-1 | Elche |
| Feb 04, 2023 | Elche | 3-1 | Villarreal |
| Sep 04, 2022 | Villarreal | 4-0 | Elche |
| Jan 16, 2022 | Elche | 1-0 | Villarreal |
| Sep 22, 2021 | Villarreal | 4-1 | Elche |
| Feb 06, 2021 | Elche | 2-2 | Villarreal |
| Dec 06, 2020 | Villarreal | 0-0 | Elche |
Key Factors
Villarreal in strong form (3W in last 5)
Elche struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.