La Liga · Mar 08, 2026 17:30
Sevilla FC
PWR 31
Rayo Vallecano
PWR 49
Sevilla FC
PWR 31
0-1
predicted
Rayo Vallecano
PWR 49
47% H
25% D
28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Rayo Vallecano to win (55% confidence)
Prediction
0-1
Score
55%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (15%)
1-1 (12%)
2-0 (11%)
0-0 (11%)
2-1 (9%)
0-1 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Power & Form
Attack40
Defense50
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.7
Attack68
Defense74
Goals/G2.3
Conc/G0.9
Sevilla FC Form
DWDDL
STABLE
Rayo Vallecano Form
DDWLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.538%
BTTS42%
Under 2.562%
Sevilla FC Goals
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
Rayo Vallec… Goals
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 79% | 21% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 56% | 44% | - |
| 3.5 | 34% | 67% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total2.9
Over 3.533%
BTTS Yes59%
Home Clean Sheet22%
Away Clean Sheet25%
Top Correct Scores:
1-1 (12%)
1-2 (9%)
0-1 (8%)
2-1 (8%)
1-0 (7%)
0-2 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Sevilla FCvs
0.79
Rayo VallecanoDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum69%
Standings57%
Market50%
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#12
Sevilla FC+3
Gap#15
Rayo Vallec…
WR 31% 30 pts
WR 23% 27 pts
Sevilla FC
10.0%
| Mar 01 | Sevilla… v Real Be… | 2-2 |
| Feb 22 | Sevilla… v Getafe | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | Sevilla… v Alavés | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Sevilla… v Girona | 1-1 |
| Feb 02 | Sevilla… v Mallorca | 4-1 |
| Jan 24 | Sevilla… v Athleti… | 2-1 |
| Jan 19 | Sevilla… v Elche | 2-2 |
| Jan 12 | Sevilla… v Celta d… | 0-1 |
| Jan 04 | Sevilla… v Levante | 0-3 |
| Dec 20 | Sevilla… v Real Ma… | 2-0 |
Rayo Vallecano
8.0%
| Feb 28 | Rayo Va… v Athleti… | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Rayo Va… v Real Be… | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Rayo Va… v Atlétic… | 3-0 |
| Feb 01 | Rayo Va… v Real Ma… | 2-1 |
| Jan 24 | Rayo Va… v Osasuna | 1-3 |
| Jan 18 | Rayo Va… v Celta d… | 3-0 |
| Jan 14 | Rayo Va… v Alavés | 2-0 |
| Jan 11 | Rayo Va… v Mallorca | 2-1 |
| Jan 06 | Rayo Va… v Granada… | 1-3 |
| Jan 02 | Rayo Va… v Getafe | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Sep 28, 2025 | Rayo Vallecano | 0-1 | Sevilla FC |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.