Predictions Match Details
La Liga · Mar 08, 2026 20:00

Valencia
PWR 29
2-0
predicted

Alavés
PWR 32
53% H 23% D 24% A
Final Verdict
Valencia Win
Prediction
2-0
Score
35%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (15%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 2-1 (9%) 0-0 (8%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 38% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 2/8 draws (25%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (29.6%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack31
Defense52
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.6
Attack27
Defense63
Goals/G0.9
Conc/G1.2
Valencia Form WLWLL
STABLE
Alavés Form LDDLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.546%
BTTS40%
Under 2.554%
Valencia Goals
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Alavés Goals
0
53%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 94% 6% OVER
1.5 77% 23% OVER
2.5 54% 46% -
3.5 32% 69% UNDER
4.5 16% 84% UNDER
5.5 7% 93% UNDER
6.5 3% 97% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total2.8
Over 3.532%
BTTS Yes51%
Home Clean Sheet40%
Away Clean Sheet15%
Top Correct Scores:
1-0 (11%) 2-0 (11%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 3-0 (7%) 3-1 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.92
Valencia
vs
0.63
Alavés
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum84%
Standings60%
Market50%
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#14
Valencia
+2
Gap
#16
Alavés
WR 39% 29 pts WR 15% 27 pts
Valencia 8.0%
Mar 01 Valencia v Osasuna 1-0
Feb 22 Valencia v Villarr… 2-1
Feb 15 Valencia v Levante 0-2
Feb 08 Valencia v Real Ma… 0-2
Feb 04 Valencia v Athleti… 1-2
Feb 01 Valencia v Real Be… 2-1
Jan 24 Valencia v Espanyol 3-2
Jan 18 Valencia v Getafe 0-1
Jan 15 Valencia v Burgos 0-2
Jan 10 Valencia v Elche 1-1
Alavés 4.0%
Feb 27 Alavés v Levante 2-0
Feb 23 Alavés v Girona 2-2
Feb 14 Alavés v Sevilla… 1-1
Feb 08 Alavés v Getafe 0-2
Feb 04 Alavés v Real So… 2-3
Jan 30 Alavés v Espanyol 1-2
Jan 25 Alavés v Real Be… 2-1
Jan 18 Alavés v Atlétic… 1-0
Jan 14 Alavés v Rayo Va… 2-0
Jan 10 Alavés v Villarr… 3-1
Head-to-Head (8)
Oct 20, 2025 Alavés 0-0 Valencia
May 14, 2025 Alavés 1-0 Valencia
Mar 29, 2025 Alavés 0-2 Valencia
Dec 22, 2024 Valencia 2-2 Alavés
Oct 26, 2024 Valencia 1-0 Alavés
May 05, 2024 Valencia 0-1 Alavés
May 05, 2024 Valencia 0-1 Alavés
Mar 10, 2024 Alavés 1-0 Valencia
Key Factors
Valencia struggling (3L in last 5)
Alavés struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.