La Liga · Mar 07, 2026 17:30
Atlético Madrid
PWR 45
Real Sociedad
PWR 35
Atlético Madrid
PWR 45
4-1
predicted
Real Sociedad
PWR 35
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
Atlético Madrid Win
Prediction
4-1
Score
42%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (8%)
3-1 (8%)
2-0 (7%)
2-1 (7%)
1-0 (4%)
1-1 (4%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
POINTS_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)H2H: 4/10 draws (40%) = VERY HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (27.7%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack52
Defense77
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G0.8
Attack41
Defense59
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.4
Atlético Madrid Form
LWWWD
STABLE
Real Sociedad Form
LWWDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.568%
BTTS59%
Under 2.532%
Atlético Ma… Goals
0
3%
1
11%
2
19%
3
22%
4
19%
Real Socied… Goals
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 85% | 15% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 69% | 31% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 51% | 49% | - |
| 5.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total4.7
Over 3.569%
BTTS Yes79%
Home Clean Sheet16%
Away Clean Sheet6%
Top Correct Scores:
2-1 (7%)
3-1 (7%)
2-2 (6%)
3-2 (6%)
4-1 (5%)
1-1 (5%)
Expected Goals (xG)
3.50
Atlético Madridvs
0.94
Real SociedadDecision Breakdown
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings70%
Market50%
League Standings
#3
Atlético Ma…+5
Gap#8
Real Socied…
WR 85% 51 pts
WR 23% 35 pts
Atlético Madrid
14.0%
| Mar 03 | Atlétic… v Barcelo… | 3-0 |
| Feb 28 | Atlétic… v Oviedo | 0-1 |
| Feb 24 | Atlétic… v Club Br… | 4-1 |
| Feb 21 | Atlétic… v Espanyol | 4-2 |
| Feb 18 | Atlétic… v Club Br… | 3-3 |
| Feb 15 | Atlétic… v Rayo Va… | 3-0 |
| Feb 12 | Atlétic… v Barcelo… | 4-0 |
| Feb 08 | Atlétic… v Real Be… | 0-1 |
| Feb 05 | Atlétic… v Real Be… | 0-5 |
| Jan 31 | Atlétic… v Levante | 0-0 |
Real Sociedad
14.0%
| Mar 01 | Real So… v Deporti… | 2-3 |
| Feb 28 | Real So… v Mallorca | 0-1 |
| Feb 23 | Real So… v Cadiz | 0-2 |
| Feb 21 | Real So… v Oviedo | 3-3 |
| Feb 16 | Real So… v Malaga | 2-1 |
| Feb 14 | Real So… v Real Ma… | 4-1 |
| Feb 11 | Real So… v Athleti… | 0-1 |
| Feb 07 | Real So… v FC Ando… | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | Real So… v Elche | 3-1 |
| Feb 04 | Real So… v Alavés | 2-3 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jan 04, 2026 | Real Sociedad | 1-1 | Atlético Madr… |
| May 10, 2025 | Atlético Madr… | 4-0 | Real Sociedad |
| Oct 06, 2024 | Real Sociedad | 1-1 | Atlético Madr… |
| May 25, 2024 | Real Sociedad | 0-2 | Atlético Madr… |
| Oct 08, 2023 | Atlético Madr… | 2-1 | Real Sociedad |
| Aug 03, 2023 | Atlético Madr… | 0-0 | Real Sociedad |
| May 28, 2023 | Atlético Madr… | 2-1 | Real Sociedad |
| Sep 03, 2022 | Real Sociedad | 1-1 | Atlético Madr… |
| May 22, 2022 | Real Sociedad | 1-2 | Atlético Madr… |
| Jan 19, 2022 | Real Sociedad | 2-0 | Atlético Madr… |
Key Factors
Atlético Madrid in strong form (3W in last 5)
Real Sociedad in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.