Ligue 1 · Mar 07, 2026 20:05
Toulouse
PWR 39
Marseille
PWR 48
Toulouse
PWR 39
1-1
predicted
Marseille
PWR 48
39% H
26% D
35% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (8%)
3-1 (7%)
2-0 (6%)
2-1 (6%)
1-0 (3%)
3-2 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityHome team draws 42% at home = very high riskH2H: 4/9 draws (44%) = VERY HIGH riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Power & Form
Attack47
Defense66
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.2
Attack69
Defense67
Goals/G2.3
Conc/G1.1
Toulouse Form
LDLLW
STABLE
Marseille Form
WLDLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.566%
BTTS58%
Under 2.534%
Toulouse Goals
0
2%
1
8%
2
16%
3
20%
4
20%
Marseille Goals
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 68% | 33% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 46% | 54% | - |
| 4.5 | 27% | 73% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total3.5
Over 3.546%
BTTS Yes64%
Home Clean Sheet29%
Away Clean Sheet11%
Top Correct Scores:
2-1 (10%)
1-1 (9%)
2-0 (8%)
3-1 (7%)
1-0 (7%)
2-2 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
3.89
Toulousevs
0.89
MarseilleDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings36%
Market50%
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#11
Toulouse-7
Gap#4
Marseille
WR 33% 31 pts
WR 42% 40 pts
Toulouse
6.0%
| Feb 28 | Toulouse v Rennes … | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Toulouse v Paris FC | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Toulouse v LE Havr… | 2-1 |
| Feb 08 | Toulouse v Angers | 1-0 |
| Feb 04 | Toulouse v Amiens | 1-0 |
| Feb 01 | Toulouse v Auxerre | 0-0 |
| Jan 25 | Toulouse v Stade B… | 0-2 |
| Jan 17 | Toulouse v Nice | 5-1 |
| Jan 10 | Toulouse v Angers | 1-1 |
| Jan 02 | Toulouse v Lens | 0-3 |
Marseille
10.0%
| Mar 01 | Marseil… v Lyon | 3-2 |
| Feb 20 | Marseil… v Stade B… | 2-0 |
| Feb 14 | Marseil… v Strasbo… | 2-2 |
| Feb 08 | Marseil… v Paris S… | 5-0 |
| Feb 03 | Marseil… v Rennes … | 3-0 |
| Jan 31 | Marseil… v Paris FC | 2-2 |
| Jan 28 | Marseil… v Club Br… | 3-0 |
| Jan 24 | Marseil… v Lens | 3-1 |
| Jan 21 | Marseil… v Liverpo… | 0-3 |
| Jan 17 | Marseil… v Angers | 2-5 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Nov 29, 2025 | Marseille | 2-2 | Toulouse |
| Apr 06, 2025 | Marseille | 3-2 | Toulouse |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Toulouse | 1-3 | Marseille |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Toulouse | 1-3 | Marseille |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Toulouse | 2-2 | Marseille |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Toulouse | 2-2 | Marseille |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Marseille | 0-0 | Toulouse |
| Feb 19, 2023 | Toulouse | 2-3 | Marseille |
| Dec 29, 2022 | Marseille | 6-1 | Toulouse |
Key Factors
Toulouse struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.