Ligue 1 · Mar 07, 2026 16:00
Nantes
PWR 26
Angers
PWR 33
Nantes
PWR 26
2-1
predicted
Angers
PWR 33
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Nantes to win (58% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
58%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (30%)0-0 (25%)2-0 (18%)3-0 (7%)1-1 (6%)0-1 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
16%
Under 2.5
84%
84%
BTTS
No
No 13%
Over 3.5
22%
Team Comparison
29Attack32
46Defense63
Goals/G
1.01.1
Conc/G
1.81.3
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Nantes
LWLLL
STABLE
Angers
LLLWW
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateH2H: 5/10 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Nantesvs
0.20
AngersGoal Probability
Nantes
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Angers
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (15%)2-0 (13%)1-1 (11%)2-1 (9%)0-0 (9%)3-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 69% | 31% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 43% | 57% | - |
| 3.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#17
Nantes-5
Gap#12
Angers
WR 17% 17 pts
WR 17% 29 pts
Nantes
4.0%
| Mar 01 | Nantes v Lille | 1-0 |
| Feb 22 | Nantes v LE Havr… | 2-0 |
| Feb 13 | Nantes v Monaco | 3-1 |
| Feb 07 | Nantes v Olympiq… | 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | Nantes v Lorient | 2-1 |
| Jan 25 | Nantes v Nice | 1-4 |
| Jan 18 | Nantes v Paris FC | 1-2 |
| Jan 11 | Nantes v Nice | 1-1 |
| Jan 04 | Nantes v Olympiq… | 0-2 |
| Dec 21 | Nantes v Concarn… | 3-5 |
Angers
8.0%
| Feb 28 | Angers v Monaco | 2-0 |
| Feb 22 | Angers v Lille | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | Angers v Lorient | 2-0 |
| Feb 08 | Angers v Toulouse | 1-0 |
| Feb 01 | Angers v Metz | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | Angers v Paris FC | 0-0 |
| Jan 17 | Angers v Olympiq… | 2-5 |
| Jan 10 | Angers v Toulouse | 1-1 |
| Jan 04 | Angers v LE Havr… | 2-1 |
| Dec 19 | Angers v Les Her… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Dec 12, 2025 | Angers | 4-1 | Nantes |
| May 04, 2025 | Nantes | 0-1 | Angers |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Angers | 1-1 | Nantes |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Angers | 1-1 | Nantes |
| Jul 23, 2023 | Nantes | 1-0 | Angers |
| Jun 03, 2023 | Nantes | 1-0 | Angers |
| Feb 08, 2023 | Angers | 1-1 | Nantes |
| Aug 07, 2022 | Angers | 0-0 | Nantes |
| Apr 17, 2022 | Nantes | 1-1 | Angers |
| Sep 19, 2021 | Angers | 1-4 | Nantes |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
80%
Standings
40%
Market
50%
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Nantes struggling (4L in last 5)
Angers struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.