Ligue 1 · Mar 08, 2026 19:45
Lyon
PWR 42
Paris FC
PWR 31
Lyon
PWR 42
3-1
predicted
Paris FC
PWR 31
53% H
23% D
24% A
Final Verdict
Lyon Win
Prediction
3-1
Score
82%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (20%)
1-0 (18%)
3-0 (14%)
0-0 (8%)
2-1 (6%)
1-1 (6%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 5 rules · 82%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy88%
FORM_MOMENTUMFORM_DOMINANTPOSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPTABLE_EXTREMES
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)H2H: 1/4 draws (25%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (29.0%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack50
Defense70
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G1.0
Attack39
Defense49
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.7
Lyon Form
LLWWW
DOWN
Paris FC Form
WDLDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.543%
BTTS24%
Under 2.557%
Lyon Goals
0
11%
1
25%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Paris FC Goals
0
73%
1
23%
2
4%
3
0%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 82% | 18% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 60% | 40% | - |
| 3.5 | 38% | 62% | - |
| 4.5 | 21% | 80% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total3.1
Over 3.538%
BTTS Yes42%
Home Clean Sheet54%
Away Clean Sheet8%
Top Correct Scores:
2-0 (14%)
3-0 (12%)
1-0 (11%)
2-1 (9%)
4-0 (7%)
3-1 (7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.18
Lyonvs
0.32
Paris FCDecision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum92%
Standings87%
Market50%
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Lyon+11
Gap#14
Paris FC
WR 82% 45 pts
WR 25% 26 pts
Lyon
12.0%
| Mar 01 | Lyon v Marseil… | 3-2 |
| Feb 22 | Lyon v Strasbo… | 3-1 |
| Feb 15 | Lyon v Nice | 2-0 |
| Feb 07 | Lyon v Nantes | 0-1 |
| Feb 04 | Lyon v Laval | 2-0 |
| Feb 01 | Lyon v Lille | 1-0 |
| Jan 29 | Lyon v PAOK | 4-2 |
| Jan 25 | Lyon v Metz | 2-5 |
| Jan 22 | Lyon v BSC You… | 0-1 |
| Jan 18 | Lyon v Stade B… | 2-1 |
Paris FC
8.0%
| Mar 01 | Paris FC v Nice | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Paris FC v Toulouse | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Paris FC v Lens | 0-5 |
| Feb 08 | Paris FC v Auxerre | 0-0 |
| Feb 04 | Paris FC v Lorient | 2-0 |
| Jan 31 | Paris FC v Marseil… | 2-2 |
| Jan 25 | Paris FC v Angers | 0-0 |
| Jan 18 | Paris FC v Nantes | 1-2 |
| Jan 12 | Paris FC v Paris S… | 0-1 |
| Jan 04 | Paris FC v Paris S… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Oct 29, 2025 | Paris FC | 3-3 | Lyon |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Lyon | 2-3 | Paris FC |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Paris FC | 3-1 | Lyon |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Paris FC | 4-1 | Lyon |
Key Factors
Lyon in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.