Ligue 1 · Mar 08, 2026 14:00
Lens
PWR 44
Metz
PWR 22
Lens
PWR 44
4-1
predicted
Metz
PWR 22
55% H
23% D
22% A
Final Verdict
Lens Win
Prediction
4-1
Score
72%
Confidence
PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (10%)
2-1 (10%)
1-0 (8%)
3-0 (8%)
1-1 (8%)
3-1 (8%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 4 rules · 72%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk22%
Accuracy77%
AWAY_LEAKINGPOSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPTABLE_EXTREMES
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team drew 3/5 recent gamesElevated draw risk (21.8%) - consider AHElite league - reduced thresholdPREMIUM with draw risk (22%) - skip
Power & Form
Attack51
Defense76
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G0.8
Attack32
Defense31
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G2.3
Lens Form
DDDLW
STABLE
Metz Form
LLLDL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.562%
BTTS56%
Under 2.538%
Lens Goals
0
9%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Metz Goals
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 84% | 17% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 67% | 33% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 48% | 52% | - |
| 5.5 | 31% | 69% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total4.6
Over 3.567%
BTTS Yes50%
Home Clean Sheet49%
Away Clean Sheet2%
Top Correct Scores:
3-0 (10%)
4-0 (10%)
2-0 (8%)
5-0 (7%)
3-1 (7%)
4-1 (7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.43
Lensvs
0.96
MetzDecision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum86%
Standings94%
Market50%
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Lens+16
Gap#18
Metz
WR 83% 53 pts
WR 8% 13 pts
Lens
10.0%
| Feb 28 | Lens v Red Star | 0-0 |
| Feb 27 | Lens v Strasbo… | 1-1 |
| Feb 23 | Lens v Guingamp | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Lens v Monaco | 2-3 |
| Feb 14 | Lens v Paris FC | 0-5 |
| Feb 14 | Lens v Montpel… | 4-2 |
| Feb 07 | Lens v Rennes … | 3-1 |
| Feb 07 | Lens v Laval | 1-1 |
| Feb 04 | Lens v Estac T… | 2-4 |
| Jan 31 | Lens v Estac T… | 0-2 |
Metz
2.0%
| Mar 01 | Metz v Stade B… | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Metz v Paris S… | 3-0 |
| Feb 15 | Metz v Auxerre | 1-3 |
| Feb 06 | Metz v Lille | 0-0 |
| Feb 01 | Metz v Angers | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | Metz v Lyon | 2-5 |
| Jan 18 | Metz v Strasbo… | 2-1 |
| Jan 11 | Metz v Montpel… | 0-4 |
| Jan 04 | Metz v Lorient | 1-1 |
| Dec 20 | Metz v Biesheim | 0-3 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Oct 29, 2025 | Metz | 2-0 | Lens |
| Apr 12, 2024 | Metz | 2-1 | Lens |
Key Factors
Metz struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.