Ligue 1 · Mar 06, 2026 19:45
Paris Saint Germain
PWR 49
Monaco
PWR 34
Paris Saint Germain
PWR 49
5-1
predicted
Monaco
PWR 34
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
Paris Saint Germain Win
Prediction
5-1
Score
55%
Confidence
STANDARD
Stability STANDARD
Stability STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (12%)
2-0 (9%)
3-1 (7%)
2-1 (5%)
1-0 (5%)
1-1 (3%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 55%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk24%
Accuracy56%
FORM_MOMENTUMPOINTS_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)H2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (24.4%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack65
Defense76
Goals/G2.2
Conc/G0.8
Attack48
Defense51
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.7
Paris Saint Ge… Form
WDWWL
STABLE
Monaco Form
WDWLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.563%
BTTS42%
Under 2.537%
Paris Saint… Goals
0
2%
1
8%
2
16%
3
20%
4
20%
Monaco Goals
0
57%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 84% | 16% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 65% | 36% | - |
| 3.5 | 42% | 58% | - |
| 4.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total3.3
Over 3.543%
BTTS Yes63%
Home Clean Sheet27%
Away Clean Sheet13%
Top Correct Scores:
2-1 (10%)
1-1 (10%)
2-0 (7%)
1-0 (7%)
3-1 (7%)
1-2 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
3.82
Paris Saint Ge…vs
0.57
MonacoDecision Breakdown
S70+DR<22 (82.1%)M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%)M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings72%
Market50%
League Standings
#1
Paris Saint…+6
Gap#7
Monaco
WR 91% 57 pts
WR 27% 37 pts
Paris Saint Ge…
14.0%
| Feb 28 | Paris S… v LE Havr… | 0-1 |
| Feb 25 | Paris S… v Monaco | 2-2 |
| Feb 21 | Paris S… v Metz | 3-0 |
| Feb 17 | Paris S… v Monaco | 2-3 |
| Feb 13 | Paris S… v Rennes … | 3-1 |
| Feb 08 | Paris S… v Marseil… | 5-0 |
| Feb 01 | Paris S… v Strasbo… | 1-2 |
| Jan 28 | Paris S… v Newcast… | 1-1 |
| Jan 23 | Paris S… v Auxerre | 0-1 |
| Jan 20 | Paris S… v Sportin… | 2-1 |
Monaco
14.0%
| Feb 28 | Monaco v Angers | 2-0 |
| Feb 25 | Monaco v Paris S… | 2-2 |
| Feb 21 | Monaco v Lens | 2-3 |
| Feb 17 | Monaco v Paris S… | 2-3 |
| Feb 13 | Monaco v Nantes | 3-1 |
| Feb 08 | Monaco v Nice | 0-0 |
| Feb 05 | Monaco v Strasbo… | 3-1 |
| Jan 31 | Monaco v Rennes … | 4-0 |
| Jan 28 | Monaco v Juventus | 0-0 |
| Jan 24 | Monaco v LE Havr… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Feb 25, 2026 | Paris Saint G… | 2-2 | Monaco |
| Feb 17, 2026 | Monaco | 2-3 | Paris Saint G… |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Monaco | 1-0 | Paris Saint G… |
| Feb 07, 2025 | Paris Saint G… | 4-1 | Monaco |
| Jan 05, 2025 | Paris Saint G… | 1-0 | Monaco |
| Dec 18, 2024 | Monaco | 2-4 | Paris Saint G… |
| Mar 01, 2024 | Monaco | 0-0 | Paris Saint G… |
| Nov 24, 2023 | Paris Saint G… | 5-2 | Monaco |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Monaco | 3-1 | Paris Saint G… |
| Aug 28, 2022 | Paris Saint G… | 1-1 | Monaco |
Key Factors
Paris Saint Germain in strong form (3W in last 5)
Monaco in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.