Serie A · Mar 08, 2026 14:00
Fiorentina
PWR 44
Parma
PWR 28
Fiorentina
PWR 44
1-0
predicted
Parma
PWR 28
43% H
25% D
32% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Fiorentina to win (56% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
56%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (13%)
1-0 (11%)
0-1 (10%)
0-0 (8%)
2-1 (8%)
1-2 (8%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityHome team draws 31% at home = very high riskH2H: 7/9 draws (78%) = VERY HIGH riskCombined DR 62% = 50.7% draw rateElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.2
Power & Form
Attack53
Defense74
Goals/G1.8
Conc/G0.9
Attack20
Defense61
Goals/G0.7
Conc/G1.3
Fiorentina Form
LLWWW
DOWN
Parma Form
DWWWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.545%
BTTS50%
Under 2.555%
Fiorentina Goals
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Parma Goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 77% | 23% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 53% | 47% | - |
| 3.5 | 31% | 69% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total2.8
Over 3.531%
BTTS Yes53%
Home Clean Sheet37%
Away Clean Sheet17%
Top Correct Scores:
1-0 (11%)
1-1 (11%)
2-0 (10%)
2-1 (10%)
0-0 (6%)
0-1 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Fiorentinavs
1.21
ParmaDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings40%
Market50%
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#17
Fiorentina-5
Gap#12
Parma
WR 23% 24 pts
WR 39% 33 pts
Fiorentina
12.0%
| Mar 02 | Fiorent… v Udinese | 3-0 |
| Feb 26 | Fiorent… v Jagiell… | 2-4 |
| Feb 23 | Fiorent… v Pisa | 1-0 |
| Feb 19 | Fiorent… v Jagiell… | 0-3 |
| Feb 14 | Fiorent… v Como | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | Fiorent… v Torino | 2-2 |
| Jan 31 | Fiorent… v Napoli | 2-1 |
| Jan 27 | Fiorent… v Como | 1-3 |
| Jan 24 | Fiorent… v Cagliari | 1-2 |
| Jan 18 | Fiorent… v Bologna | 1-2 |
Parma
14.0%
| Feb 27 | Parma v Cagliari | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Parma v AC Milan | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | Parma v Verona | 2-1 |
| Feb 08 | Parma v Bologna | 0-1 |
| Feb 01 | Parma v Juventus | 1-4 |
| Jan 25 | Parma v Atalanta | 4-0 |
| Jan 18 | Parma v Genoa | 0-0 |
| Jan 14 | Parma v Napoli | 0-0 |
| Jan 11 | Parma v Lecce | 1-2 |
| Jan 07 | Parma v Inter | 0-2 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Dec 27, 2025 | Parma | 1-0 | Fiorentina |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Fiorentina | 0-0 | Parma |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Parma | 1-1 | Fiorentina |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Parma | 1-1 | Fiorentina |
| Dec 06, 2023 | Fiorentina | 2-2 | Parma |
| Jul 20, 2023 | Fiorentina | 1-1 | Parma |
| Mar 07, 2021 | Fiorentina | 3-3 | Parma |
| Nov 07, 2020 | Parma | 0-0 | Fiorentina |
| Jul 05, 2020 | Parma | 1-2 | Fiorentina |
Key Factors
Fiorentina in strong form (3W in last 5)
Parma in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.