Serie A · Mar 08, 2026 11:30
Lecce
PWR 27
Cremonese
PWR 30
Lecce
PWR 27
1-1
predicted
Cremonese
PWR 30
55% H
23% D
22% A
Final Verdict
Lecce Win
Prediction
1-1
Score
42%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (29%)
0-0 (22%)
2-0 (19%)
3-0 (8%)
1-1 (6%)
0-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (27.5%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack17
Defense61
Goals/G0.6
Conc/G1.3
Attack26
Defense60
Goals/G0.9
Conc/G1.3
Lecce Form
LLWWL
DOWN
Cremonese Form
LLDLL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.519%
BTTS13%
Under 2.581%
Lecce Goals
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Cremonese Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 80% | 20% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 48% | 53% | - |
| 2.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total1.6
Over 3.58%
BTTS Yes28%
Home Clean Sheet57%
Away Clean Sheet36%
Top Correct Scores:
1-0 (21%)
0-0 (20%)
1-1 (12%)
0-1 (12%)
2-0 (11%)
2-1 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Leccevs
0.20
CremoneseDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum81%
Standings46%
Market50%
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#18
Lecce-2
Gap#16
Cremonese
WR 21% 24 pts
WR 21% 24 pts
Lecce
8.0%
| Feb 28 | Lecce v Como | 3-1 |
| Feb 21 | Lecce v Inter | 0-2 |
| Feb 16 | Lecce v Cagliari | 0-2 |
| Feb 08 | Lecce v Udinese | 2-1 |
| Feb 01 | Lecce v Torino | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | Lecce v Lazio | 0-0 |
| Jan 18 | Lecce v AC Milan | 1-0 |
| Jan 14 | Lecce v Inter | 1-0 |
| Jan 11 | Lecce v Parma | 1-2 |
| Jan 06 | Lecce v AS Roma | 0-2 |
Cremonese
2.0%
| Mar 01 | Cremone… v AC Milan | 0-2 |
| Feb 22 | Cremone… v AS Roma | 3-0 |
| Feb 15 | Cremone… v Genoa | 0-0 |
| Feb 09 | Cremone… v Atalanta | 2-1 |
| Feb 01 | Cremone… v Inter | 0-2 |
| Jan 25 | Cremone… v Sassuolo | 1-0 |
| Jan 19 | Cremone… v Verona | 0-0 |
| Jan 12 | Cremone… v Juventus | 5-0 |
| Jan 08 | Cremone… v Cagliari | 2-2 |
| Jan 04 | Cremone… v Fiorent… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Dec 07, 2025 | Cremonese | 2-0 | Lecce |
| Feb 03, 2024 | Lecce | 0-1 | Cremonese |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Cremonese | 1-0 | Lecce |
| Feb 04, 2023 | Cremonese | 0-2 | Lecce |
| Oct 02, 2022 | Lecce | 1-1 | Cremonese |
| Jan 23, 2022 | Lecce | 2-1 | Cremonese |
| Aug 22, 2021 | Cremonese | 3-0 | Lecce |
| Feb 13, 2021 | Cremonese | 1-2 | Lecce |
| Oct 21, 2020 | Lecce | 2-2 | Cremonese |
Key Factors
Lecce struggling (3L in last 5)
Cremonese struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.