Serie A · Mar 09, 2026 19:45

Lazio
PWR 36

Sassuolo
PWR 34

Lazio
PWR 36
2-2
predicted

Sassuolo
PWR 34
27% H
29% D
44% A
Final Verdict
Lazio Win
Prediction
2-2
Score
35%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (10%)
1-2 (9%)
0-1 (7%)
2-1 (7%)
0-2 (7%)
2-2 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 31% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateH2H: 2/3 draws (67%) = VERY HIGH riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (32.2%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack31
Defense73
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G0.9
Attack35
Defense62
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.3
Lazio Form
LDLDD
STABLE
Sassuolo Form
WWWLW
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.563%
BTTS65%
Under 2.537%
Lazio Goals
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Sassuolo Goals
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 69% | 31% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 43% | 57% | - |
| 3.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total2.4
Over 3.522%
BTTS Yes49%
Home Clean Sheet31%
Away Clean Sheet29%
Top Correct Scores:
1-1 (13%)
1-0 (11%)
0-1 (11%)
0-0 (9%)
2-1 (8%)
1-2 (8%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Laziovs
1.93
SassuoloDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum44%
Standings46%
Market50%
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#11
Lazio-2
Gap#9
Sassuolo
WR 39% 34 pts
WR 39% 38 pts
Lazio
6.0%
| Mar 01 | Lazio v Torino | 2-0 |
| Feb 21 | Lazio v Cagliari | 0-0 |
| Feb 14 | Lazio v Atalanta | 0-2 |
| Feb 11 | Lazio v Bologna | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Lazio v Juventus | 2-2 |
| Jan 30 | Lazio v Genoa | 3-2 |
| Jan 24 | Lazio v Lecce | 0-0 |
| Jan 19 | Lazio v Como | 0-3 |
| Jan 11 | Lazio v Verona | 0-1 |
| Jan 07 | Lazio v Fiorent… | 2-2 |
Sassuolo
16.0%
| Mar 01 | Sassuolo v Atalanta | 2-1 |
| Feb 20 | Sassuolo v Verona | 3-0 |
| Feb 15 | Sassuolo v Udinese | 1-2 |
| Feb 08 | Sassuolo v Inter | 0-5 |
| Jan 31 | Sassuolo v Pisa | 1-3 |
| Jan 25 | Sassuolo v Cremone… | 1-0 |
| Jan 17 | Sassuolo v Napoli | 1-0 |
| Jan 10 | Sassuolo v AS Roma | 2-0 |
| Jan 06 | Sassuolo v Juventus | 0-3 |
| Jan 03 | Sassuolo v Parma | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Sep 14, 2025 | Sassuolo | 1-0 | Lazio |
| May 26, 2024 | Lazio | 1-1 | Sassuolo |
| May 26, 2024 | Lazio | 1-1 | Sassuolo |
Key Factors
Sassuolo in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.