Serie A · Mar 09, 2026 19:45

Lazio
PWR 36
2-2
predicted

Sassuolo
PWR 34
27% H 29% D 44% A
Final Verdict
Lazio Win
Prediction
2-2
Score
35%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (10%) 1-2 (9%) 0-1 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 0-2 (7%) 2-2 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 31% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateH2H: 2/3 draws (67%) = VERY HIGH riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (32.2%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack31
Defense73
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G0.9
Attack35
Defense62
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.3
Lazio Form LDLDD
STABLE
Sassuolo Form WWWLW
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.563%
BTTS65%
Under 2.537%
Lazio Goals
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Sassuolo Goals
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 91% 9% OVER
1.5 69% 31% OVER
2.5 43% 57% -
3.5 22% 78% UNDER
4.5 10% 90% UNDER
5.5 4% 96% UNDER
6.5 1% 99% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total2.4
Over 3.522%
BTTS Yes49%
Home Clean Sheet31%
Away Clean Sheet29%
Top Correct Scores:
1-1 (13%) 1-0 (11%) 0-1 (11%) 0-0 (9%) 2-1 (8%) 1-2 (8%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Lazio
vs
1.93
Sassuolo
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum44%
Standings46%
Market50%
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#11
Lazio
-2
Gap
#9
Sassuolo
WR 39% 34 pts WR 39% 38 pts
Lazio 6.0%
Mar 01 Lazio v Torino 2-0
Feb 21 Lazio v Cagliari 0-0
Feb 14 Lazio v Atalanta 0-2
Feb 11 Lazio v Bologna 1-1
Feb 08 Lazio v Juventus 2-2
Jan 30 Lazio v Genoa 3-2
Jan 24 Lazio v Lecce 0-0
Jan 19 Lazio v Como 0-3
Jan 11 Lazio v Verona 0-1
Jan 07 Lazio v Fiorent… 2-2
Sassuolo 16.0%
Mar 01 Sassuolo v Atalanta 2-1
Feb 20 Sassuolo v Verona 3-0
Feb 15 Sassuolo v Udinese 1-2
Feb 08 Sassuolo v Inter 0-5
Jan 31 Sassuolo v Pisa 1-3
Jan 25 Sassuolo v Cremone… 1-0
Jan 17 Sassuolo v Napoli 1-0
Jan 10 Sassuolo v AS Roma 2-0
Jan 06 Sassuolo v Juventus 0-3
Jan 03 Sassuolo v Parma 1-1
Head-to-Head (3)
Sep 14, 2025 Sassuolo 1-0 Lazio
May 26, 2024 Lazio 1-1 Sassuolo
May 26, 2024 Lazio 1-1 Sassuolo
Key Factors
Sassuolo in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.