Segunda División · Mar 07, 2026 15:15
Real Sociedad
PWR 35
Castellón
PWR 41
Real Sociedad
PWR 35
1-2
predicted
Castellón
PWR 41
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
Castellón Win
Prediction
1-2
Score
42%
Confidence
STANDARD
Stability STANDARD
Stability STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (12%)
1-0 (9%)
2-1 (9%)
0-1 (8%)
1-2 (8%)
2-0 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 42%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_POSITION_GAPAWAY_POINTS_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)WR diff only 1% = 35.1% draw rateCombined DR 61% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (29.8%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Power & Form
Attack41
Defense59
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.4
Attack48
Defense69
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.0
Real Sociedad Form
LWWDW
STABLE
Castellón Form
LDWWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.553%
BTTS57%
Under 2.547%
Real Socied… Goals
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4
5%
Castellón Goals
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 80% | 21% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 57% | 43% | - |
| 3.5 | 34% | 66% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total3.0
Over 3.534%
BTTS Yes59%
Home Clean Sheet19%
Away Clean Sheet28%
Top Correct Scores:
1-1 (11%)
1-2 (9%)
0-1 (9%)
0-2 (7%)
2-1 (7%)
1-0 (7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Real Sociedadvs
1.29
CastellónDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#33
Real Socied…-19
Gap#14
Castellón
WR 36% 15 pts
WR 37% 74 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 15 |
| Castellón | 54 | 20 | 14 | 20 | 84 | 79 | 74 |
Real Sociedad
14.0%
| Mar 01 | Real So… v Deporti… | 2-3 |
| Feb 28 | Real So… v Mallorca | 0-1 |
| Feb 23 | Real So… v Cadiz | 0-2 |
| Feb 21 | Real So… v Oviedo | 3-3 |
| Feb 16 | Real So… v Malaga | 2-1 |
| Feb 14 | Real So… v Real Ma… | 4-1 |
| Feb 11 | Real So… v Athleti… | 0-1 |
| Feb 07 | Real So… v FC Ando… | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | Real So… v Elche | 3-1 |
| Feb 04 | Real So… v Alavés | 2-3 |
Castellón
14.0%
| Feb 28 | Castell… v Santand… | 1-3 |
| Feb 21 | Castell… v Las Pal… | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Castell… v Deporti… | 2-0 |
| Feb 08 | Castell… v Vallado… | 0-4 |
| Feb 01 | Castell… v FC Ando… | 2-0 |
| Jan 25 | Castell… v Zaragoza | 0-0 |
| Jan 16 | Castell… v Levante | 2-0 |
| Jan 11 | Castell… v Granada | 0-0 |
| Jan 03 | Castell… v Huesca | 4-1 |
| Dec 21 | Castell… v Cadiz | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Nov 15, 2025 | Castellón | 5-4 | Real Sociedad |
Key Factors
Real Sociedad in strong form (3W in last 5)
Castellón in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.