Segunda División · Mar 08, 2026 13:00
Las Palmas
PWR 39
AD Ceuta FC
PWR 33
Las Palmas
PWR 39
2-1
predicted
AD Ceuta FC
PWR 33
41% H
26% D
33% A
Final Verdict
Las Palmas Win
Prediction
2-1
Score
35%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (12%)
3-0 (11%)
1-0 (9%)
2-1 (9%)
3-1 (8%)
1-1 (7%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 36% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateHome team drew 4/5 recent gamesCombined DR 64% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (29.6%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack36
Defense75
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G0.8
Attack38
Defense58
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.4
Las Palmas Form
WDDDD
STABLE
AD Ceuta FC Form
WWWLL
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.560%
BTTS48%
Under 2.540%
Las Palmas Goals
0
7%
1
19%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
AD Ceuta FC Goals
0
49%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 88% | 12% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 71% | 29% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 50% | 51% | - |
| 4.5 | 30% | 70% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total3.7
Over 3.550%
BTTS Yes66%
Home Clean Sheet27%
Away Clean Sheet10%
Top Correct Scores:
2-1 (9%)
1-1 (8%)
3-1 (7%)
2-0 (7%)
1-0 (6%)
2-2 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.61
Las Palmasvs
0.72
AD Ceuta FCDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum92%
Standings58%
Market50%
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#6
Las Palmas+1
Gap#7
AD Ceuta FC
WR 43% 45 pts
WR 21% 44 pts
Las Palmas
12.0%
| Mar 01 | Las Pal… v Cultura… | 0-3 |
| Feb 21 | Las Pal… v Castell… | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Las Pal… v Mirandes | 1-1 |
| Feb 07 | Las Pal… v Burgos | 0-0 |
| Jan 30 | Las Pal… v Real So… | 1-1 |
| Jan 24 | Las Pal… v Cordoba | 1-2 |
| Jan 18 | Las Pal… v Santand… | 4-1 |
| Jan 10 | Las Pal… v Deporti… | 1-1 |
| Jan 04 | Las Pal… v Zaragoza | 1-2 |
| Dec 20 | Las Pal… v Cultura… | 4-0 |
AD Ceuta FC
12.0%
| Mar 01 | AD Ceut… v Mirandes | 0-1 |
| Feb 25 | AD Ceut… v Cordoba | 3-2 |
| Feb 20 | AD Ceut… v Granada | 2-1 |
| Feb 15 | AD Ceut… v Huesca | 2-0 |
| Feb 01 | AD Ceut… v AlmerÃa | 4-2 |
| Jan 26 | AD Ceut… v Cultura… | 3-1 |
| Jan 17 | AD Ceut… v Vallado… | 0-3 |
| Jan 11 | AD Ceut… v Malaga | 2-1 |
| Jan 04 | AD Ceut… v FC Ando… | 2-1 |
| Dec 21 | AD Ceut… v Real So… | 1-3 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Dec 14, 2025 | AD Ceuta FC | 1-1 | Las Palmas |
Key Factors
AD Ceuta FC in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.