Liga Premier Serie A · Mar 06, 2026 22:00
Atletico Hidalgo
PWR 35
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Chilpancingo
PWR 35
PWR 35
53% H
23% D
24% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (11%)
1-1 (11%)
2-0 (10%)
2-1 (10%)
3-0 (6%)
0-0 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesAway draws 40% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 60% = 50.7% draw rateElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.1
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Atletico Hidal… Form
DWDLW
STABLE
Chilpancingo Form
WDLLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.552%
BTTS52%
Under 2.548%
Atletico Hi… Goals
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Chilpancingo Goals
0
39%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 73% | 28% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 52% | 48% | - |
| 4.5 | 32% | 68% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total3.8
Over 3.552%
BTTS Yes68%
Home Clean Sheet10%
Away Clean Sheet24%
Top Correct Scores:
1-2 (9%)
1-1 (8%)
1-3 (7%)
0-2 (6%)
2-2 (6%)
2-1 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.84
Atletico Hidal…vs
0.95
ChilpancingoDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum79%
Standings42%
Market50%
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#14
Atletico Hi…-4
Gap#10
Chilpancingo
WR 20% 16 pts
WR 10% 25 pts
Atletico Hidal…
12.0%
| Feb 20 | Atletic… v Zacatep… | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Atletic… v Sportin… | 2-3 |
| Feb 06 | Atletic… v Ciervos | 2-2 |
| Jan 31 | Atletic… v Correca… | 2-1 |
| Jan 23 | Atletic… v Calor d… | 2-0 |
| Jan 17 | Atletic… v Zitacua… | 0-0 |
| Jan 09 | Atletic… v Gavilan… | 1-0 |
| Nov 22 | Atletic… v Cordobés | 3-0 |
| Nov 14 | Atletic… v Deporti… | 0-7 |
| Nov 11 | Atletic… v Lobos U… | 7-1 |
Chilpancingo
6.0%
| Feb 28 | Chilpan… v Cordobés | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | Chilpan… v Deporti… | 0-0 |
| Feb 14 | Chilpan… v Lobos U… | 1-2 |
| Feb 08 | Chilpan… v Real Ap… | 4-2 |
| Feb 01 | Chilpan… v Gavilan… | 2-1 |
| Jan 24 | Chilpan… v FC Sant… | 1-1 |
| Jan 17 | Chilpan… v Zacatep… | 1-1 |
| Jan 10 | Chilpan… v Sportin… | 5-2 |
| Nov 22 | Chilpan… v Ciervos | 1-1 |
| Nov 14 | Chilpan… v Correca… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Oct 18, 2025 | Chilpancingo | 3-1 | Atletico Hida… |
Key Factors
Chilpancingo struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.