Liga Nacional · Mar 08, 2026 17:00

Aurora
PWR 35
2-1
predicted

Xelajú
PWR 35
41% H 26% D 33% A
Final Verdict
Aurora Win
Prediction
2-1
Score
35%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (22%) 1-0 (21%) 3-0 (16%) 0-0 (10%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
1X2H
Over/UnderN/A
BTTSBTTS_YES
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 1/3 draws (33%) = HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (24.8%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Aurora Form DDWLW
STABLE
Xelajú Form WDWLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.539%
BTTS16%
Under 2.561%
Aurora Goals
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Xelajú Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 84% 16% OVER
1.5 54% 46% -
2.5 28% 73% UNDER
3.5 11% 89% UNDER
4.5 4% 96% UNDER
5.5 1% 99% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total1.8
Over 3.511%
BTTS Yes36%
Home Clean Sheet37%
Away Clean Sheet44%
Top Correct Scores:
0-0 (16%) 0-1 (16%) 1-0 (13%) 1-1 (13%) 0-2 (8%) 1-2 (7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.15
Aurora
vs
0.20
Xelajú
Decision Breakdown
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum93%
Standings67%
Market50%
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
Aurora
+2
Gap
#6
Xelajú
WR 73% 39 pts WR 27% 28 pts
Aurora 12.0%
Mar 01 Aurora v Mixco 1-1
Feb 26 Aurora v Marquen… 0-0
Feb 22 Aurora v Comunic… 2-0
Feb 19 Aurora v Antigua… 2-0
Feb 15 Aurora v Cobán I… 1-0
Feb 07 Aurora v Achuapa 2-1
Feb 01 Aurora v Malacat… 1-0
Jan 28 Aurora v Guastat… 2-2
Jan 25 Aurora v Municip… 2-2
Jan 21 Aurora v Xelajú 4-0
Xelajú 14.0%
Mar 02 Xelajú v Mictlán 2-0
Feb 25 Xelajú v Achuapa 0-0
Feb 23 Xelajú v Mixco 2-1
Feb 19 Xelajú v Malacat… 1-0
Feb 16 Xelajú v Marquen… 4-2
Feb 12 Xelajú v Monterr… 2-0
Feb 08 Xelajú v Guastat… 1-0
Feb 05 Xelajú v Monterr… 1-1
Feb 01 Xelajú v Comunic… 2-0
Jan 29 Xelajú v Municip… 1-0
Head-to-Head (3)
Jan 21, 2026 Xelajú 4-0 Aurora
Nov 16, 2025 Aurora 3-2 Xelajú
Sep 14, 2025 Xelajú 2-2 Aurora
Key Factors
Xelajú in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.