Primeira Liga · Mar 08, 2026 18:00
Benfica
PWR 35
FC Porto
PWR 35
Benfica
PWR 35
3-2
predicted
FC Porto
PWR 35
35% H
27% D
38% A
Final Verdict
FC Porto Win
Prediction
3-2
Score
37%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (11%)
3-0 (10%)
2-1 (8%)
3-1 (8%)
1-0 (8%)
1-1 (6%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 37%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk24%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUM
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 33% at home = very high riskBoth teams defensive = 40.0% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateElevated draw risk (23.6%) - consider AHElite league - reduced threshold
Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Benfica Form
WDLWL
STABLE
FC Porto Form
LWWWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.563%
BTTS50%
Under 2.537%
Benfica Goals
0
6%
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4
16%
FC Porto Goals
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 73% | 27% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 48% | 52% | - |
| 3.5 | 26% | 74% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total2.6
Over 3.527%
BTTS Yes52%
Home Clean Sheet33%
Away Clean Sheet23%
Top Correct Scores:
1-1 (12%)
1-0 (11%)
2-1 (9%)
0-1 (8%)
2-0 (8%)
0-0 (7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.82
Benficavs
0.77
FC PortoDecision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings46%
Market50%
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Benfica-2
Gap#1
FC Porto
WR 67% 58 pts
WR 92% 65 pts
Benfica
10.0%
| Mar 02 | Benfica v GIL Vic… | 1-2 |
| Mar 01 | Benfica v Penafie… | 1-1 |
| Feb 25 | Benfica v Real Ma… | 2-1 |
| Feb 22 | Benfica v Damaien… | 0-4 |
| Feb 21 | Benfica v Moreire… | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Benfica v AVS | 3-0 |
| Feb 17 | Benfica v Real Ma… | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | Benfica v Felguei… | 4-2 |
| Feb 13 | Benfica v Santa C… | 1-2 |
| Feb 09 | Benfica v Portimo… | 1-1 |
FC Porto
16.0%
| Mar 03 | FC Porto v Sportin… | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | FC Porto v Moreire… | 0-3 |
| Feb 27 | FC Porto v Arouca | 3-1 |
| Feb 23 | FC Porto v Pacos F… | 1-0 |
| Feb 22 | FC Porto v Rio Ave… | 1-0 |
| Feb 18 | FC Porto v Spartak… | 3-1 |
| Feb 15 | FC Porto v União d… | 2-2 |
| Feb 15 | FC Porto v Nacional | 0-1 |
| Feb 09 | FC Porto v Sportin… | 1-1 |
| Feb 06 | FC Porto v Académi… | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jan 14, 2026 | FC Porto | 1-0 | Benfica |
| Jan 05, 2026 | Benfica | 1-1 | FC Porto |
| Oct 05, 2025 | FC Porto | 0-0 | Benfica |
| May 17, 2025 | FC Porto | 1-4 | Benfica |
| Apr 06, 2025 | FC Porto | 1-4 | Benfica |
| Jan 06, 2025 | Benfica | 2-1 | FC Porto |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Benfica | 4-1 | FC Porto |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Benfica | 4-1 | FC Porto |
| May 17, 2024 | Benfica | 5-2 | FC Porto |
| Mar 03, 2024 | FC Porto | 5-0 | Benfica |
Key Factors
FC Porto in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.