Primeira Liga · Mar 07, 2026 18:00

SC Braga
PWR 35
1-1
predicted

Sporting CP
PWR 35
51% H 24% D 25% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (21%) 2-0 (16%) 0-0 (14%) 1-1 (10%) 3-0 (8%) 2-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk22%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.0
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
SC Braga Form WWLWW
STABLE
Sporting CP Form WLWLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.532%
BTTS30%
Under 2.568%
SC Braga Goals
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
Sporting CP Goals
0
62%
1
30%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 92% 8% OVER
1.5 71% 29% OVER
2.5 45% 55% -
3.5 24% 76% UNDER
4.5 11% 89% UNDER
5.5 4% 96% UNDER
6.5 1% 99% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total2.5
Over 3.524%
BTTS Yes48%
Home Clean Sheet40%
Away Clean Sheet21%
Top Correct Scores:
1-0 (13%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 0-0 (8%) 0-1 (8%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
SC Braga
vs
0.48
Sporting CP
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum80%
Standings46%
Market50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
SC Braga
-2
Gap
#2
Sporting CP
WR 64% 45 pts WR 75% 61 pts
SC Braga 16.0%
Feb 28 SC Braga v Nacional 1-2
Feb 21 SC Braga v Guimara… 3-2
Feb 14 SC Braga v GIL Vic… 2-1
Feb 08 SC Braga v Rio Ave… 3-0
Feb 02 SC Braga v AVS 0-4
Jan 29 SC Braga v GO Ahea… 0-0
Jan 25 SC Braga v Alverca 5-0
Jan 22 SC Braga v Notting… 1-0
Jan 18 SC Braga v Tondela 0-1
Jan 14 SC Braga v Fafe 2-1
Sporting CP 12.0%
Mar 03 Sportin… v FC Porto 1-0
Feb 28 Sportin… v Leixões… 0-1
Feb 27 Sportin… v Estoril 3-0
Feb 21 Sportin… v Marítimo 1-0
Feb 21 Sportin… v Moreire… 0-3
Feb 15 Sportin… v Portimo… 4-3
Feb 15 Sportin… v Famalic… 1-0
Feb 10 Sportin… v Pacos F… 0-3
Feb 09 Sportin… v FC Porto 1-1
Feb 05 Sportin… v AVS 3-2
Head-to-Head (2)
Oct 05, 2025 Sporting CP 1-1 SC Braga
Jan 23, 2024 SC Braga 1-0 Sporting CP
Key Factors
SC Braga in strong form (4W in last 5)
Sporting CP in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.