Primeira Liga · Mar 07, 2026 20:30
Estoril
PWR 35
Casa Pia AC
PWR 35
Estoril
PWR 35
4-1
predicted
Casa Pia AC
PWR 35
43% H
25% D
32% A
Final Verdict
Estoril Win
Prediction
4-1
Score
42%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (11%)
2-0 (8%)
3-1 (4%)
1-0 (3%)
2-1 (3%)
1-1 (1%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
FORM_DOMINANT
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 33% at home = very high riskH2H: 2/4 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (28.5%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Estoril Form
LWLDW
STABLE
Casa Pia AC Form
DLWDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.557%
BTTS32%
Under 2.543%
Estoril Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Casa Pia AC Goals
0
68%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 87% | 13% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 73% | 27% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 55% | 45% | - |
| 5.5 | 38% | 63% | - |
| 6.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total5.0
Over 3.573%
BTTS Yes74%
Home Clean Sheet24%
Away Clean Sheet3%
Top Correct Scores:
3-1 (7%)
4-1 (7%)
2-1 (6%)
3-0 (5%)
3-2 (5%)
4-0 (5%)
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Estorilvs
0.39
Casa Pia ACDecision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings70%
Market50%
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#8
Estoril+5
Gap#13
Casa Pia AC
WR 50% 33 pts
WR 25% 23 pts
Estoril
10.0%
| Feb 27 | Estoril v Sportinā¦ | 3-0 |
| Feb 22 | Estoril v GIL Vicā¦ | 3-1 |
| Feb 15 | Estoril v AVS | 3-0 |
| Feb 07 | Estoril v Tondela | 2-2 |
| Jan 31 | Estoril v Santa Cā¦ | 2-4 |
| Jan 24 | Estoril v Guimaraā¦ | 4-2 |
| Jan 19 | Estoril v Estrelaā¦ | 0-5 |
| Jan 03 | Estoril v Benfica | 3-1 |
| Dec 27 | Estoril v Alverca | 4-1 |
| Dec 19 | Estoril v SC Braga | 1-0 |
Casa Pia AC
12.0%
| Mar 01 | Casa Piā¦ v Moreireā¦ | 1-1 |
| Feb 23 | Casa Piā¦ v Famalicā¦ | 2-0 |
| Feb 14 | Casa Piā¦ v Arouca | 3-2 |
| Feb 08 | Casa Piā¦ v Nacional | 0-0 |
| Feb 02 | Casa Piā¦ v FC Porto | 2-1 |
| Jan 23 | Casa Piā¦ v AVS | 3-3 |
| Jan 16 | Casa Piā¦ v Sportinā¦ | 3-0 |
| Jan 04 | Casa Piā¦ v Rio Aveā¦ | 3-1 |
| Dec 28 | Casa Piā¦ v Guimaraā¦ | 0-0 |
| Dec 21 | Casa Piā¦ v Tondela | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Oct 03, 2025 | Casa Pia AC | 2-2 | Estoril |
| Apr 29, 2025 | Casa Pia AC | 1-3 | Estoril |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Estoril | 0-2 | Casa Pia AC |
| Apr 08, 2024 | Casa Pia AC | 0-0 | Estoril |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.