Primeira Liga · Mar 07, 2026 15:30
Moreirense
PWR 35
Nacional
PWR 35
Moreirense
PWR 35
2-1
predicted
Nacional
PWR 35
49% H
24% D
27% A
Final Verdict
Moreirense Win
Prediction
2-1
Score
35%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (13%)
1-0 (12%)
0-1 (10%)
0-0 (9%)
2-1 (9%)
2-0 (8%)
1X2H
Over/UnderN/A
BTTSBTTS_YES
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)H2H: 1/3 draws (33%) = HIGH riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (26.8%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Moreirense Form
DDDLL
STABLE
Nacional Form
LLLDL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.543%
BTTS49%
Under 2.557%
Moreirense Goals
0
26%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Nacional Goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 89% | 12% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 64% | 36% | - |
| 2.5 | 37% | 63% | - |
| 3.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total2.2
Over 3.517%
BTTS Yes43%
Home Clean Sheet31%
Away Clean Sheet38%
Top Correct Scores:
0-1 (14%)
1-1 (13%)
0-0 (12%)
1-0 (11%)
0-2 (8%)
1-2 (8%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Moreirensevs
1.09
NacionalDecision Breakdown
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings74%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#7
Moreirense+7
Gap#14
Nacional
WR 55% 34 pts
WR 17% 21 pts
Moreirense
6.0%
| Mar 02 | Moreireā¦ v Felgueiā¦ | 0-0 |
| Mar 01 | Moreireā¦ v Casa Piā¦ | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Moreireā¦ v Pacos Fā¦ | 0-0 |
| Feb 28 | Moreireā¦ v FC Porto | 0-3 |
| Feb 22 | Moreireā¦ v LusitĆ¢nā¦ | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Moreireā¦ v UniĆ£o dā¦ | 2-4 |
| Feb 21 | Moreireā¦ v Benfica | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Moreireā¦ v Sportinā¦ | 0-3 |
| Feb 16 | Moreireā¦ v Rio Aveā¦ | 1-2 |
| Feb 15 | Moreireā¦ v Pacos Fā¦ | 0-0 |
Nacional
2.0%
| Feb 28 | Nacional v SC Braga | 1-2 |
| Feb 21 | Nacional v Arouca | 3-0 |
| Feb 15 | Nacional v FC Porto | 0-1 |
| Feb 08 | Nacional v Casa Piā¦ | 0-0 |
| Feb 01 | Nacional v Sportinā¦ | 2-1 |
| Jan 25 | Nacional v Rio Aveā¦ | 4-0 |
| Jan 17 | Nacional v GIL Vicā¦ | 2-1 |
| Jan 11 | Nacional v Santa Cā¦ | 3-3 |
| Jan 02 | Nacional v Guimaraā¦ | 2-1 |
| Dec 21 | Nacional v AVS | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Oct 04, 2025 | Nacional | 3-2 | Moreirense |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Moreirense | 1-1 | Nacional |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Nacional | 1-0 | Moreirense |
Key Factors
Nacional struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.