Primeira Liga · Mar 06, 2026 20:15
Famalicao
PWR 35
Arouca
PWR 35
Famalicao
PWR 35
3-1
predicted
Arouca
PWR 35
41% H
26% D
33% A
Final Verdict
Famalicao Win
Prediction
3-1
Score
35%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (10%)
2-0 (8%)
3-1 (7%)
2-1 (6%)
1-0 (4%)
1-1 (3%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk24%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)H2H: 2/4 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH riskElevated draw risk (23.7%) - consider AHElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got SKIP/0 rules)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Famalicao Form
DWLWL
STABLE
Arouca Form
LWLWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.565%
BTTS51%
Under 2.535%
Famalicao Goals
0
2%
1
9%
2
16%
3
21%
4
19%
Arouca Goals
0
48%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 79% | 21% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 56% | 44% | - |
| 3.5 | 34% | 66% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 18% | 83% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total2.9
Over 3.534%
BTTS Yes59%
Home Clean Sheet24%
Away Clean Sheet22%
Top Correct Scores:
1-1 (11%)
2-1 (9%)
1-2 (8%)
1-0 (8%)
0-1 (8%)
2-2 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
3.78
Famalicaovs
0.73
AroucaDecision Breakdown
S70+DR<22 (82.1%)M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings70%
Market50%
League Standings
#6
Famalicao+5
Gap#11
Arouca
WR 50% 36 pts
WR 25% 26 pts
Famalicao
10.0%
| Mar 01 | Famalic… v Rio Ave… | 0-0 |
| Feb 23 | Famalic… v Casa Pi… | 2-0 |
| Feb 15 | Famalic… v Sportin… | 1-0 |
| Feb 09 | Famalic… v AVS | 3-1 |
| Feb 01 | Famalic… v GIL Vic… | 5-0 |
| Jan 25 | Famalic… v Tondela | 3-0 |
| Jan 18 | Famalic… v Santa C… | 0-1 |
| Jan 04 | Famalic… v Alverca | 1-0 |
| Dec 27 | Famalic… v Estrela… | 2-3 |
| Dec 22 | Famalic… v Benfica | 1-0 |
Arouca
12.0%
| Feb 27 | Arouca v FC Porto | 3-1 |
| Feb 21 | Arouca v Nacional | 3-0 |
| Feb 14 | Arouca v Casa Pi… | 3-2 |
| Feb 07 | Arouca v Guimara… | 3-2 |
| Jan 31 | Arouca v Rio Ave… | 0-3 |
| Jan 24 | Arouca v Sportin… | 1-2 |
| Jan 17 | Arouca v AVS | 0-1 |
| Jan 03 | Arouca v Tondela | 3-1 |
| Dec 28 | Arouca v GIL Vic… | 2-2 |
| Dec 21 | Arouca v Santa C… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Oct 05, 2025 | Arouca | 1-1 | Famalicao |
| Apr 05, 2025 | Arouca | 1-2 | Famalicao |
| Nov 09, 2024 | Famalicao | 0-0 | Arouca |
| Feb 23, 2024 | Arouca | 3-2 | Famalicao |
Key Factors
Arouca in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.