Primeira Liga · Mar 07, 2026 15:30
Alverca
PWR 35
PWR 35
2-1
predicted
AVS
PWR 35
PWR 35
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
Alverca Win
Prediction
2-1
Score
63%
Confidence
GOLD
Stability GOLD
Stability GOLD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (11%)
3-0 (10%)
2-1 (8%)
3-1 (8%)
1-0 (8%)
1-1 (6%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
GOLD · 3 rules · 63%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk23%
Accuracy73%
AWAY_LEAKINGPOSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Both teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateHome team drew 4/5 recent gamesElevated draw risk (22.8%) - consider AHElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got GOLD/3 rules)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Alverca Form
DDDLD
STABLE
AVS Form
DLWLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.563%
BTTS51%
Under 2.537%
Alverca Goals
0
6%
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4
16%
AVS Goals
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 79% | 21% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 56% | 44% | - |
| 3.5 | 34% | 66% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total2.9
Over 3.534%
BTTS Yes57%
Home Clean Sheet30%
Away Clean Sheet18%
Top Correct Scores:
1-1 (11%)
2-1 (10%)
1-0 (9%)
2-0 (8%)
1-2 (7%)
0-1 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.82
Alvercavs
0.79
AVSDecision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings75%
Market50%
High draw risk (25%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#10
Alverca+8
Gap#18
AVS
WR 42% 27 pts
WR 0% 9 pts
Alverca
8.0%
| Feb 28 | Alverca v Guimara… | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Alverca v Santa C… | 1-1 |
| Feb 13 | Alverca v Tondela | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Alverca v Benfica | 2-1 |
| Jan 31 | Alverca v Estrela… | 1-1 |
| Jan 25 | Alverca v SC Braga | 5-0 |
| Jan 17 | Alverca v Moreire… | 2-1 |
| Jan 04 | Alverca v Famalic… | 1-0 |
| Dec 27 | Alverca v Estoril | 4-1 |
| Dec 22 | Alverca v FC Porto | 0-3 |
AVS
6.0%
| Feb 28 | AVS v Estrela… | 0-0 |
| Feb 21 | AVS v Benfica | 3-0 |
| Feb 15 | AVS v Estoril | 3-0 |
| Feb 09 | AVS v Famalic… | 3-1 |
| Feb 05 | AVS v Sportin… | 3-2 |
| Feb 02 | AVS v SC Braga | 0-4 |
| Jan 23 | AVS v Casa Pi… | 3-3 |
| Jan 17 | AVS v Arouca | 0-1 |
| Jan 03 | AVS v Moreire… | 0-2 |
| Dec 29 | AVS v FC Porto | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Oct 04, 2025 | AVS | 1-3 | Alverca |
Key Factors
AVS struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.