Primeira Liga · Mar 08, 2026 15:30

Estrela da Amadora
PWR 35
1-2
predicted

GIL Vicente
PWR 35
37% H 27% D 36% A
Final Verdict
Estrela da Amadora Win
Prediction
1-2
Score
35%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 1-0 (7%) 1-2 (7%) 2-0 (7%) 2-2 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 33% at home = very high riskH2H: 2/6 draws (33%) = HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesAway draws 42% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 75% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (33.7%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Estrela da Ama… Form DLLWD
STABLE
GIL Vicente Form LLWWW
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.560%
BTTS63%
Under 2.540%
Estrela da … Goals
0
16%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
GIL Vicente Goals
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 98% 3% OVER
1.5 88% 12% OVER
2.5 72% 29% OVER
3.5 51% 49% -
4.5 31% 69% UNDER
5.5 17% 83% UNDER
6.5 8% 92% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total3.7
Over 3.551%
BTTS Yes67%
Home Clean Sheet9%
Away Clean Sheet27%
Top Correct Scores:
1-2 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 1-3 (7%) 0-2 (7%) 2-2 (6%) 0-1 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.82
Estrela da Ama…
vs
1.37
GIL Vicente
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum66%
Standings36%
Market50%
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#12
Estrela da …
-7
Gap
#5
GIL Vicente
WR 25% 24 pts WR 33% 40 pts
Estrela da Ama… 8.0%
Feb 28 Estrela… v AVS 0-0
Feb 20 Estrela… v Tondela 0-2
Feb 14 Estrela… v Guimara… 2-1
Feb 07 Estrela… v Santa C… 1-0
Jan 31 Estrela… v Alverca 1-1
Jan 25 Estrela… v Benfica 4-0
Jan 19 Estrela… v Estoril 0-5
Jan 03 Estrela… v SC Braga 3-3
Dec 27 Estrela… v Famalic… 2-3
Dec 20 Estrela… v Moreire… 0-0
GIL Vicente 12.0%
Mar 02 GIL Vic… v Benfica 1-2
Feb 22 GIL Vic… v Estoril 3-1
Feb 14 GIL Vic… v SC Braga 2-1
Feb 07 GIL Vic… v Moreire… 1-2
Feb 01 GIL Vic… v Famalic… 5-0
Jan 26 GIL Vic… v FC Porto 3-0
Jan 17 GIL Vic… v Nacional 2-1
Jan 02 GIL Vic… v Sportin… 1-1
Dec 28 GIL Vic… v Arouca 2-2
Dec 20 GIL Vic… v Rio Ave… 2-2
Head-to-Head (6)
Oct 04, 2025 GIL Vicente 2-0 Estrela da Am…
Mar 07, 2025 Estrela da Am… 1-1 GIL Vicente
Oct 05, 2024 GIL Vicente 3-0 Estrela da Am…
May 18, 2024 Estrela da Am… 1-0 GIL Vicente
May 18, 2024 Estrela da Am… 1-0 GIL Vicente
Jan 14, 2024 GIL Vicente 1-1 Estrela da Am…
Key Factors
GIL Vicente in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.