Predictions Match Details
Primera División - Clausura · Nov 16, 2025 21:00

Peñarol Montevideo
PWR 62
1 - 2
FT

Peñarol Montevideo
PWR 62
45% H 25% D 30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Peñarol Montevideo to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (14%) 1-0 (13%) 3-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.0
Power & Form
Attack55
Defense71
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G0.8
Attack55
Defense71
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G0.8
Peñarol Montev… Form WLWLW
STABLE
Peñarol Montev… Form WLWLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.552%
BTTS43%
Under 2.548%
Peñarol Mon… Goals
0
11%
1
25%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Peñarol Mon… Goals
0
52%
1
34%
2
11%
3
3%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 71% 29% OVER
1.5 36% 65% -
2.5 13% 87% UNDER
3.5 4% 96% UNDER
4.5 1% 99% UNDER
5.5 0% 100% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total1.2
Over 3.54%
BTTS Yes21%
Home Clean Sheet59%
Away Clean Sheet49%
Top Correct Scores:
0-0 (29%) 1-0 (20%) 0-1 (16%) 1-1 (11%) 2-0 (7%) 0-2 (4%)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.19
Peñarol Montev…
vs
0.66
Peñarol Montev…
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum87%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Peñarol Mon…
0
Gap
#1
Peñarol Mon…
WR 60% 122 pts WR 60% 122 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Peñarol Montevi…603614109549122
Peñarol Montevi…603614109549122
Peñarol Montev… 12.0%
Nov 09 Peñarol… v Atletic… 0-2
Nov 07 Peñarol… v Cerro L… 2-0
Nov 02 Peñarol… v Defenso… 2-1
Nov 01 Peñarol… v Juventus 0-1
Oct 26 Peñarol… v Progreso 3-1
Oct 25 Peñarol… v Cerrito 2-0
Oct 20 Peñarol… v Plaza C… 0-1
Oct 19 Peñarol… v Rangers… 3-0
Oct 16 Peñarol… v Defenso… 0-2
Oct 11 Peñarol… v Miramar 2-2
Peñarol Montev… 12.0%
Nov 09 Peñarol… v Atletic… 0-2
Nov 07 Peñarol… v Cerro L… 2-0
Nov 02 Peñarol… v Defenso… 2-1
Nov 01 Peñarol… v Juventus 0-1
Oct 26 Peñarol… v Progreso 3-1
Oct 25 Peñarol… v Cerrito 2-0
Oct 20 Peñarol… v Plaza C… 0-1
Oct 19 Peñarol… v Rangers… 3-0
Oct 16 Peñarol… v Defenso… 0-2
Oct 11 Peñarol… v Miramar 2-2
Head-to-Head (6)
Sep 13, 2025 Peñarol Monte… 2-2 Peñarol Monte…
Nov 09, 2024 Peñarol Monte… 2-0 Peñarol Monte…
Feb 12, 2024 Peñarol Monte… 3-1 Peñarol Monte…
Dec 16, 2023 Peñarol Monte… 0-1 Peñarol Monte…
Dec 13, 2023 Peñarol Monte… 2-0 Peñarol Monte…
Dec 09, 2023 Peñarol Monte… 0-1 Peñarol Monte…
Key Factors
Peñarol Montevideo in strong form (3W in last 5)
Peñarol Montevideo in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.