Premier League · Mar 09, 2026 19:30

El Geish
PWR 35
1-1
predicted

Al Ahly
PWR 35
39% H 26% D 35% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (40%) 1-0 (24%) 0-1 (13%) 1-1 (8%) 2-0 (7%) 2-1 (2%)
1X2H
Over/UnderN/A
BTTSBTTS_YES
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityHome team draws 33% at home = very high riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesAway draws 62% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 96% = 50.7% draw rateElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.3
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
El Geish Form WDLDW
STABLE
Al Ahly Form DWWWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.57%
BTTS12%
Under 2.593%
El Geish Goals
0
55%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
Al Ahly Goals
0
73%
1
23%
2
4%
3
0%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 71% 29% OVER
1.5 35% 65% -
2.5 13% 87% UNDER
3.5 4% 96% UNDER
4.5 1% 99% UNDER
5.5 0% 100% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total1.3
Over 3.54%
BTTS Yes21%
Home Clean Sheet56%
Away Clean Sheet52%
Top Correct Scores:
0-0 (29%) 1-0 (19%) 0-1 (17%) 1-1 (11%) 2-0 (6%) 0-2 (5%)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.60
El Geish
vs
0.32
Al Ahly
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings30%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#18
El Geish
-15
Gap
#3
Al Ahly
WR 22% 16 pts WR 38% 37 pts
El Geish 12.0%
Feb 28 El Geish v Haras E… 1-0
Feb 23 El Geish v Kahraba… 2-2
Feb 06 El Geish v Al Itti… 0-1
Jan 29 El Geish v Ghazl E… 0-0
Jan 15 El Geish v Al Wasl… 1-2
Jan 04 El Geish v Pharco 1-0
Dec 30 El Geish v Ghazl E… 1-0
Dec 27 El Geish v Kahraba… 1-1
Dec 24 El Geish v El Moka… 0-0
Dec 20 El Geish v Enppi 2-1
Al Ahly 16.0%
Feb 28 Al Ahly v Masr SC 1-1
Feb 23 Al Ahly v Smouha … 0-1
Feb 19 Al Ahly v El Gouna 1-0
Feb 11 Al Ahly v Ismaily… 2-0
Feb 03 Al Ahly v Nationa… 1-1
Jan 27 Al Ahly v Wadi De… 3-1
Dec 30 Al Ahly v El Moka… 0-3
Nov 02 Al Ahly v Al-Masr… 0-0
Oct 29 Al Ahly v Petrojet 1-1
Oct 22 Al Ahly v Al Itti… 2-1
Key Factors
Al Ahly in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.