National Soccer League · Mar 09, 2026 17:00

Police
PWR 35

Al Merreikh
PWR 35

Police
PWR 35
2-1
predicted

Al Merreikh
PWR 35
33% H
27% D
40% A
Final Verdict
Police Win
Prediction
2-1
Score
35%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (30%)
1-0 (20%)
0-1 (16%)
1-1 (11%)
2-0 (7%)
0-2 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateBoth teams defensive = 40.0% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesCombined DR 64% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (34.8%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Police Form
DDDLL
STABLE
Al Merreikh Form
DWWDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.512%
BTTS21%
Under 2.588%
Police Goals
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
Al Merreikh Goals
0
58%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 66% | 34% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total1.1
Over 3.52%
BTTS Yes17%
Home Clean Sheet62%
Away Clean Sheet56%
Top Correct Scores:
0-0 (34%)
1-0 (20%)
0-1 (17%)
1-1 (10%)
2-0 (6%)
0-2 (4%)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.68
Policevs
0.54
Al MerreikhDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings48%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
Police-1
Gap#3
Al Merreikh
WR 55% 37 pts
WR 55% 41 pts
Police
6.0%
| Mar 01 | Police v Muhanga | 1-1 |
| Feb 25 | Police v Rutsiro | 0-0 |
| Feb 20 | Police v APR | 1-1 |
| Feb 13 | Police v Rayon S… | 0-1 |
| Feb 08 | Police v AS Kiga… | 0-1 |
| Jan 11 | Police v Kiyovu … | 0-0 |
| Jan 08 | Police v Al Merr… | 1-1 |
| Jan 03 | Police v Gorilla | 4-0 |
| Dec 26 | Police v Bugesera | 1-0 |
| Dec 20 | Police v Etincel… | 0-1 |
Al Merreikh
14.0%
| Feb 27 | Al Merr… v Gasogi … | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Al Merr… v AS Kiga… | 0-1 |
| Feb 17 | Al Merr… v Al Hila… | 1-2 |
| Feb 13 | Al Merr… v Musanze | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Al Merr… v Marines | 1-1 |
| Jan 21 | Al Merr… v Rayon S… | 2-2 |
| Jan 18 | Al Merr… v APR | 0-0 |
| Jan 11 | Al Merr… v Mukura | 1-1 |
| Jan 08 | Al Merr… v Police | 1-1 |
| Jan 05 | Al Merr… v Gasogi … | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Jan 08, 2026 | Al Merreikh | 1-1 | Police |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.