National Soccer League · Mar 09, 2026 17:00

Police
PWR 35
2-1
predicted

Al Merreikh
PWR 35
33% H 27% D 40% A
Final Verdict
Police Win
Prediction
2-1
Score
35%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (30%) 1-0 (20%) 0-1 (16%) 1-1 (11%) 2-0 (7%) 0-2 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateBoth teams defensive = 40.0% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesCombined DR 64% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (34.8%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Police Form DDDLL
STABLE
Al Merreikh Form DWWDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.512%
BTTS21%
Under 2.588%
Police Goals
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
Al Merreikh Goals
0
58%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 66% 34% OVER
1.5 29% 71% UNDER
2.5 9% 91% UNDER
3.5 2% 98% UNDER
4.5 1% 100% UNDER
5.5 0% 100% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total1.1
Over 3.52%
BTTS Yes17%
Home Clean Sheet62%
Away Clean Sheet56%
Top Correct Scores:
0-0 (34%) 1-0 (20%) 0-1 (17%) 1-1 (10%) 2-0 (6%) 0-2 (4%)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.68
Police
vs
0.54
Al Merreikh
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings48%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
Police
-1
Gap
#3
Al Merreikh
WR 55% 37 pts WR 55% 41 pts
Police 6.0%
Mar 01 Police v Muhanga 1-1
Feb 25 Police v Rutsiro 0-0
Feb 20 Police v APR 1-1
Feb 13 Police v Rayon S… 0-1
Feb 08 Police v AS Kiga… 0-1
Jan 11 Police v Kiyovu … 0-0
Jan 08 Police v Al Merr… 1-1
Jan 03 Police v Gorilla 4-0
Dec 26 Police v Bugesera 1-0
Dec 20 Police v Etincel… 0-1
Al Merreikh 14.0%
Feb 27 Al Merr… v Gasogi … 1-1
Feb 22 Al Merr… v AS Kiga… 0-1
Feb 17 Al Merr… v Al Hila… 1-2
Feb 13 Al Merr… v Musanze 1-1
Feb 08 Al Merr… v Marines 1-1
Jan 21 Al Merr… v Rayon S… 2-2
Jan 18 Al Merr… v APR 0-0
Jan 11 Al Merr… v Mukura 1-1
Jan 08 Al Merr… v Police 1-1
Jan 05 Al Merr… v Gasogi … 0-1
Head-to-Head (1)
Jan 08, 2026 Al Merreikh 1-1 Police
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.