Liga de Expansión MX · Mar 06, 2026 23:00

Tapatío
PWR 35
1-1
predicted

Cancún
PWR 35
51% H 24% D 25% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (15%) 2-0 (14%) 1-0 (9%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (6%) 1-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Liga de Expansión MX
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Tapatío Form DWWWL
STABLE
Cancún Form LWLWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.559%
BTTS32%
Under 2.541%
Tapatío Goals
0
5%
1
14%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
Cancún Goals
0
66%
1
27%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 98% 2% OVER
1.5 90% 10% OVER
2.5 75% 26% OVER
3.5 55% 46% -
4.5 35% 65% UNDER
5.5 20% 80% UNDER
6.5 10% 90% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total3.9
Over 3.554%
BTTS Yes71%
Home Clean Sheet21%
Away Clean Sheet10%
Top Correct Scores:
2-1 (9%) 1-1 (7%) 2-2 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 1-2 (6%) 2-0 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
3.08
Tapatío
vs
0.41
Cancún
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings32%
Market50%
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#11
Tapatío
-9
Gap
#2
Cancún
WR 60% 15 pts WR 46% 30 pts
Tapatío 14.0%
Feb 28 Tapatío v Correca… 2-2
Feb 13 Tapatío v CDS Tam… 3-1
Feb 07 Tapatío v Atlante… 1-3
Jan 30 Tapatío v Leones … 2-0
Jan 24 Tapatío v Tepatit… 2-0
Jan 16 Tapatío v Venados… 4-2
Jan 10 Tapatío v CA La P… 2-2
Nov 09 Tapatío v Dorados 4-1
Nov 01 Tapatío v Irapuato 2-1
Oct 19 Tapatío v Mineros… 2-3
Cancún 10.0%
Mar 01 Cancún v CDS Tam… 1-2
Feb 15 Cancún v Mineros… 4-1
Feb 11 Cancún v Venados… 2-0
Feb 01 Cancún v Monarcas 0-1
Jan 25 Cancún v Alebrij… 1-1
Jan 17 Cancún v Tlaxcala 1-0
Jan 11 Cancún v Dorados 3-1
Nov 16 Cancún v Monarcas 1-1
Nov 14 Cancún v Monarcas 3-1
Nov 09 Cancún v Leones … 0-1
Head-to-Head (10)
Sep 28, 2025 Cancún 1-0 Tapatío
Apr 06, 2025 Cancún 1-2 Tapatío
Oct 20, 2024 Tapatío 2-0 Cancún
Mar 27, 2024 Cancún 1-1 Tapatío
Jul 22, 2023 Tapatío 0-0 Cancún
Mar 30, 2023 Cancún 1-0 Tapatío
Aug 26, 2022 Tapatío 1-0 Cancún
Mar 16, 2022 Cancún 1-0 Tapatío
Oct 07, 2021 Tapatío 1-1 Cancún
Feb 25, 2021 Cancún 1-0 Tapatío
Key Factors
Tapatío in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.