Azerbaijan Premier League · Mar 08, 2026 15:15
Qarabağ FK
PWR 35
Qarabağ FK
PWR 35
2-1
predicted
Araz
PWR 35
PWR 35
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Araz Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-2 (5%)3-3 (4%)2-2 (4%)3-1 (4%)2-3 (3%)2-1 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
71%
71%
Under 2.5
29%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 92%
Over 3.5
57%
57%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Qarabağ FK
WDLLW
STABLE
Araz
LWWLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy38%
HOME_LEAKING
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (25.0%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
3.92
Qarabağ FKvs
2.73
ArazGoal Probability
Qarabağ FK
0
2%
1
8%
2
15%
3
20%
4
20%
Araz
0
7%
1
18%
2
24%
3
22%
4
15%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (8%)1-1 (7%)2-2 (7%)1-2 (7%)3-1 (6%)3-2 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 77% | 23% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 57% | 43% | - |
| 4.5 | 38% | 62% | - |
| 5.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Qarabağ FK+3
Gap#5
Araz
WR 64% 45 pts
WR 27% 33 pts
Qarabağ FK
10.0%
| Mar 04 | Qarabağ… v Şamaxı | 3-1 |
| Mar 01 | Qarabağ… v Sabah FA | 3-3 |
| Feb 24 | Qarabağ… v Newcast… | 3-2 |
| Feb 18 | Qarabağ… v Newcast… | 1-6 |
| Feb 14 | Qarabağ… v Mil-Muğ… | 0-1 |
| Feb 10 | Qarabağ… v Şamaxı | 1-2 |
| Feb 05 | Qarabağ… v Şamaxı | 2-1 |
| Feb 01 | Qarabağ… v Turan T… | 1-0 |
| Jan 28 | Qarabağ… v Liverpo… | 6-0 |
| Jan 24 | Qarabağ… v Kəpəz | 0-2 |
Araz
8.0%
| Feb 27 | Araz v Zira | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Araz v Karvan | 0-2 |
| Feb 15 | Araz v Sumqayıt | 1-0 |
| Feb 08 | Araz v Sabah FA | 4-1 |
| Feb 01 | Araz v Neftchi… | 0-4 |
| Jan 23 | Araz v Mil-Muğ… | 2-2 |
| Dec 21 | Araz v Şamaxı | 2-0 |
| Dec 14 | Araz v Qarabağ… | 5-1 |
| Dec 09 | Araz v Kəpəz | 2-0 |
| Dec 04 | Araz v Kəpəz | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Dec 14, 2025 | Qarabağ FK | 5-1 | Araz |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Araz | 0-5 | Qarabağ FK |
| May 11, 2025 | Qarabağ FK | 2-0 | Araz |
| Apr 23, 2025 | Qarabağ FK | 3-0 | Araz |
| Apr 02, 2025 | Araz | 1-0 | Qarabağ FK |
| Mar 08, 2025 | Araz | 1-3 | Qarabağ FK |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Qarabağ FK | 2-0 | Araz |
| Aug 02, 2024 | Araz | 1-4 | Qarabağ FK |
| May 26, 2024 | Araz | 2-2 | Qarabağ FK |
| Jan 23, 2024 | Qarabağ FK | 3-1 | Araz |
Decision Breakdown
M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
83%
Standings
65%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Araz struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.