Azerbaijan Premier League · Mar 09, 2026 16:30
Neftchi Baku
PWR 35
Turan Tovuz
PWR 35
Neftchi Baku
PWR 35
2-2
predicted
Turan Tovuz
PWR 35
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
Turan Tovuz Win
Prediction
2-2
Score
42%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (39%)
0-1 (25%)
1-0 (12%)
0-2 (8%)
1-1 (7%)
1-2 (2%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUM
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 60% at home = very high riskH2H: 5/10 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 87% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (33.5%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Neftchi Baku Form
DWWWD
STABLE
Turan Tovuz Form
DWWDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.57%
BTTS12%
Under 2.593%
Neftchi Baku Goals
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Turan Tovuz Goals
0
53%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 82% | 18% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 52% | 48% | - |
| 2.5 | 25% | 75% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total1.7
Over 3.510%
BTTS Yes33%
Home Clean Sheet40%
Away Clean Sheet45%
Top Correct Scores:
0-0 (18%)
0-1 (16%)
1-0 (14%)
1-1 (13%)
0-2 (8%)
1-2 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Neftchi Bakuvs
0.63
Turan TovuzDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum47%
Standings44%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#6
Neftchi Baku-3
Gap#3
Turan Tovuz
WR 20% 31 pts
WR 55% 41 pts
Neftchi Baku
16.0%
| Feb 28 | Neftchi… v Şamaxı | 2-2 |
| Feb 15 | Neftchi… v Kəpəz | 1-3 |
| Feb 10 | Neftchi… v Qabala | 1-0 |
| Feb 01 | Neftchi… v Araz | 0-4 |
| Jan 23 | Neftchi… v Zira | 0-0 |
| Dec 20 | Neftchi… v Karvan | 1-2 |
| Dec 15 | Neftchi… v Sumqayıt | 2-2 |
| Dec 08 | Neftchi… v Sabah FA | 2-0 |
| Dec 02 | Neftchi… v Zira | 1-0 |
| Nov 30 | Neftchi… v Xorazm | 2-0 |
Turan Tovuz
16.0%
| Mar 01 | Turan T… v Mil-Muğ… | 0-0 |
| Feb 24 | Turan T… v Qabala | 0-3 |
| Feb 20 | Turan T… v Zira | 2-0 |
| Feb 16 | Turan T… v Şamaxı | 0-0 |
| Feb 09 | Turan T… v Karvan | 1-0 |
| Feb 05 | Turan T… v Kəpəz | 1-0 |
| Feb 01 | Turan T… v Qarabağ… | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | Turan T… v Sumqayıt | 2-1 |
| Dec 19 | Turan T… v Kəpəz | 0-2 |
| Dec 13 | Turan T… v Sabah FA | 1-3 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Nov 28, 2025 | Turan Tovuz | 0-0 | Neftchi Baku |
| Aug 29, 2025 | Neftchi Baku | 0-1 | Turan Tovuz |
| May 10, 2025 | Turan Tovuz | 1-2 | Neftchi Baku |
| Mar 10, 2025 | Neftchi Baku | 1-1 | Turan Tovuz |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Turan Tovuz | 1-1 | Neftchi Baku |
| Aug 03, 2024 | Neftchi Baku | 0-0 | Turan Tovuz |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Neftchi Baku | 3-0 | Turan Tovuz |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Turan Tovuz | 1-1 | Neftchi Baku |
| Dec 10, 2023 | Neftchi Baku | 3-2 | Turan Tovuz |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Turan Tovuz | 0-1 | Neftchi Baku |
Key Factors
Neftchi Baku in strong form (3W in last 5)
Turan Tovuz in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.