Community Shield · Jul 30, 2022 16:00
Liverpool
PWR 38
Manchester City
PWR 46
Liverpool
PWR 38
3 - 1
FT
Manchester City
PWR 46
55% H
23% D
22% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Manchester City to win (87% confidence)
Prediction
1-2
Score
87%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
3-1 (8%)
2-1 (8%)
3-0 (8%)
2-0 (7%)
1-1 (5%)
1-0 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 3-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw risk
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Power & Form
Attack49
Defense59
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.4
Attack61
Defense71
Goals/G2.0
Conc/G1.0
Liverpool Form
WDWWW
STABLE
Manchester City Form
DWWLD
STABLE
Key Players
Liverpool
Hugo Ekitiké
7.38G1A
Florian Wirtz
7.04G2A
Mohamed Salah
6.73G3A
Cody Gakpo
7.04G1A
Dominik Szoboszlai
7.33G2A
Manchester City
Erling Haaland
7.417G5A
Phil Foden
7.28G3A
Rayan Cherki
7.54G8A
Tijjani Reijnders
7.15G2A
Jérémy Doku
7.72G4A
Score & Markets
Over 2.569%
BTTS63%
Under 2.531%
Liverpool Goals
0
5%
1
14%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
Manchester … Goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 82% | 18% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 60% | 40% | - |
| 3.5 | 38% | 62% | - |
| 4.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 10% | 91% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total3.1
Over 3.538%
BTTS Yes57%
Home Clean Sheet35%
Away Clean Sheet13%
Top Correct Scores:
2-1 (10%)
1-1 (10%)
2-0 (10%)
1-0 (9%)
3-1 (7%)
3-0 (7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
3.08
Liverpoolvs
1.07
Manchester CityDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Liverpool+2
Gap#4
Manchester …
WR 0% 1 pts
WR 0% 1 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Manchester City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Liverpool
18.0%
| May 22 | Liverpo… v Wolverh… | 3-1 |
| May 07 | Liverpo… v Tottenh… | 1-1 |
| Apr 30 | Liverpo… v Newcast… | 0-1 |
| Apr 16 | Liverpo… v Manches… | 2-3 |
| Mar 20 | Liverpo… v Notting… | 0-1 |
| Mar 12 | Liverpo… v Brighto… | 0-2 |
| Mar 08 | Liverpo… v Inter M… | 0-1 |
| Mar 05 | Liverpo… v West Br… | 1-0 |
| Feb 23 | Liverpo… v Leeds | 6-0 |
| Feb 16 | Liverpo… v Inter M… | 0-2 |
Manchester City
12.0%
| May 15 | Manches… v West Br… | 2-2 |
| May 11 | Manches… v Wolverh… | 1-5 |
| May 08 | Manches… v Newcast… | 5-0 |
| May 04 | Manches… v Real Ma… | 3-1 |
| Apr 30 | Manches… v Walsall | 2-2 |
| Apr 30 | Manches… v Leeds | 0-4 |
| Apr 26 | Manches… v Real Ma… | 4-3 |
| Apr 23 | Manches… v Watford | 5-1 |
| Apr 22 | Manches… v Newport… | 1-2 |
| Apr 20 | Manches… v Brighto… | 3-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Apr 16, 2022 | Manchester Ci… | 2-3 | Liverpool |
Key Factors
Liverpool in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.