Championship · Mar 10, 2026 19:45
Millwall
PWR 35
Derby
PWR 37
Millwall
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Derby
PWR 37
57% H
23% D
20% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (8%)
3-1 (8%)
2-0 (6%)
1-1 (6%)
2-2 (6%)
3-0 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk23%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityH2H: 4/9 draws (44%) = VERY HIGH risk
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.3
Power & Form
Attack37
Defense64
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.2
Attack44
Defense63
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G1.2
Millwall Form
WWLWW
STABLE
Derby Form
WLLWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.572%
BTTS71%
Under 2.528%
Millwall Goals
0
6%
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4
16%
Derby Goals
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 91% | 10% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 56% | 44% | - |
| 4.5 | 36% | 64% | - |
| 5.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total4.0
Over 3.556%
BTTS Yes71%
Home Clean Sheet22%
Away Clean Sheet9%
Top Correct Scores:
2-1 (9%)
1-1 (7%)
3-1 (7%)
2-2 (7%)
2-0 (6%)
1-2 (5%)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.81
Millwallvs
1.40
DerbyDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum86%
Standings59%
Market50%
League Standings
#4
Millwall+4
Gap#8
Derby
WR 56% 62 pts
WR 47% 51 pts
Millwall
16.0%
| Feb 28 | Millwall v Preston | 0-2 |
| Feb 25 | Millwall v Birming… | 3-0 |
| Feb 21 | Millwall v Portsmo… | 1-3 |
| Feb 14 | Millwall v Sheffie… | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | Millwall v Wrexham | 0-2 |
| Jan 31 | Millwall v Sheffie… | 1-1 |
| Jan 24 | Millwall v Charlton | 4-0 |
| Jan 20 | Millwall v Coventry | 2-1 |
| Jan 17 | Millwall v Watford | 0-2 |
| Jan 10 | Millwall v Burnley | 5-1 |
Derby
8.0%
| Feb 28 | Derby v Blackbu… | 3-1 |
| Feb 24 | Derby v Hull Ci… | 4-2 |
| Feb 21 | Derby v Watford | 2-0 |
| Feb 14 | Derby v Swansea | 2-0 |
| Feb 07 | Derby v Ipswich | 1-2 |
| Jan 30 | Derby v Bristol… | 0-5 |
| Jan 23 | Derby v West Br… | 1-1 |
| Jan 20 | Derby v Charlton | 1-2 |
| Jan 17 | Derby v Preston | 0-1 |
| Jan 11 | Derby v Leeds | 1-3 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Dec 10, 2025 | Derby | 1-1 | Millwall |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Derby | 0-1 | Millwall |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Millwall | 1-1 | Derby |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Millwall | 1-1 | Derby |
| Feb 23, 2022 | Derby | 1-2 | Millwall |
| Nov 06, 2021 | Millwall | 1-1 | Derby |
| Mar 13, 2021 | Derby | 0-1 | Millwall |
| Dec 05, 2020 | Millwall | 0-1 | Derby |
| Jun 20, 2020 | Millwall | 2-3 | Derby |
Key Factors
Millwall in strong form (4W in last 5)
Derby struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.