US Open Cup · May 21, 2025 23:30

New York Red Bulls
PWR 0
2 - 2
FT

FC Dallas
PWR 59
39% H 26% D 35% A
Final Verdict
New York Red Bulls Win
Prediction
N/A
Score
35%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%) 2-0 (6%) 2-2 (6%) 3-0 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Limited data available (Tier 3)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (29.9%) - VETO 1X2 | Tier 3 data without strong odds (need 85%+)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense0
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack47
Defense65
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.0
New York Red B… Form DLDLW
STABLE
FC Dallas Form DWWDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.570%
BTTS69%
Under 2.530%
New York Re… Goals
0
8%
1
20%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
FC Dallas Goals
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 96% 5% OVER
1.5 82% 18% OVER
2.5 60% 40% -
3.5 38% 62% -
4.5 20% 80% UNDER
5.5 10% 91% UNDER
6.5 4% 96% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total3.1
Over 3.538%
BTTS Yes62%
Home Clean Sheet19%
Away Clean Sheet24%
Top Correct Scores:
1-1 (11%) 1-2 (9%) 2-1 (8%) 0-1 (7%) 1-0 (6%) 2-2 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.55
New York Red B…
vs
1.37
FC Dallas
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum82%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
New York Red B… 8.0%
Apr 12 New Yor… v Orlando… 0-0
Mar 29 New Yor… v New Eng… 2-1
Mar 15 New Yor… v Orlando… 2-2
Dec 07 New Yor… v Los Ang… 2-1
Dec 01 New Yor… v Orlando… 0-1
Nov 23 New Yor… v New Yor… 0-2
Nov 03 New Yor… v Columbu… 2-2
Oct 29 New Yor… v Columbu… 0-1
Oct 20 New Yor… v Columbu… 2-3
Jun 08 New Yor… v New Eng… 1-0
FC Dallas 12.0%
May 11 FC Dall… v Real Sa… 1-1
Mar 23 FC Dall… v Real Sa… 0-1
Oct 20 FC Dall… v Sportin… 2-1
Oct 06 FC Dall… v Portlan… 0-0
Sep 19 FC Dall… v Real Sa… 3-2
Jul 11 FC Dall… v Sportin… 2-1
May 26 FC Dall… v Real Sa… 3-3
May 22 FC Dall… v Tampa B… 1-2
May 08 FC Dall… v Memphis… 1-0
May 04 FC Dall… v Toronto… 3-1
Head-to-Head (2)
Mar 10, 2024 New York Red … 2-1 FC Dallas
Apr 16, 2022 New York Red … 0-0 FC Dallas
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.