Cup · Jun 22, 2025 10:00
Valmiera / BSS
PWR 54
Riga Mariners
PWR 35
PWR 35
2 - 2
FT
Valmiera / BSS
PWR 54
48%
24%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Over 2.5
Goals · Home scores 2.0/g, Away concedes 2.5/g, expected 4.8 goals
75%
accuracy
1.75x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Riga Mariners Win
Score
2-4
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (10%)1-1 (10%)2-0 (9%)1-0 (9%)3-1 (7%)3-0 (6%)
WRONG 2-2
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
59%
Under 2.5
41%
BTTS
Yes 57%
Over 3.5
81%
81%
Team Comparison
70Attack100
30Defense13
Goals/G
2.03.0
Conc/G
2.02.5
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Riga Mariners
WWWLL
UP
Valmiera / BSS
WL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy38%
FORM_MOMENTUM
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (24.5%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.07
Riga Marinersvs
1.06
Valmiera / BSSGoal Probability
Riga Marine…
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Valmiera / …
0
35%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
3-1 (6%)4-1 (6%)5-1 (5%)3-2 (5%)4-2 (5%)2-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 100% | 0% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 98% | 3% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 92% | 9% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 81% | 20% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 65% | 35% | OVER |
| 5.5 | 48% | 52% | - |
| 6.5 | 32% | 68% | UNDER |
League Position
#6
Riga Marine…-3
Gap#3
Valmiera / …
WR 0% 1 pts
WR 50% 4 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riga Mariners | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Valmiera / BSS | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
Riga Mariners
12.0%
| Jun 14 | Riga Ma… v Rēzekne… | 2-5 |
| May 24 | Riga Ma… v Augšdau… | 1-5 |
| May 17 | Riga Ma… v Tukums … | 4-0 |
| May 10 | Riga Ma… v Ogre Un… | 2-3 |
| May 03 | Riga Ma… v JFK Ven… | 1-2 |
| Apr 26 | Riga Ma… v Progres… | 1-5 |
| Apr 19 | Riga Ma… v Leevon … | 1-1 |
| Apr 12 | Riga Ma… v Mārupe | 1-2 |
| Apr 05 | Riga Ma… v Skanste | 1-0 |
| Mar 29 | Riga Ma… v Riga FC… | 1-1 |
Valmiera / BSS
10.0%
| May 31 | Valmier… v Ogre Un… | 4-3 |
| Feb 21 | Valmier… v Laagri | 2-0 |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
80%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Riga Mariners in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.