Shield Cup · Jun 01, 2025 12:00
Nairobi United
PWR 46
PWR 46
1 - 1
FT
Mara Sugar
PWR 29
PWR 29
51% H
24% D
25% A
Final Verdict
Nairobi United Win
Prediction
2-0
Score
35%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (17%)
2-0 (16%)
3-0 (10%)
0-0 (9%)
1-1 (9%)
2-1 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Away team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (30.0%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack35
Defense74
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G0.8
Attack18
Defense65
Goals/G0.5
Conc/G1.0
Nairobi United Form
WDDDW
STABLE
Mara Sugar Form
DWDLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.542%
BTTS34%
Under 2.558%
Nairobi Uniā¦ Goals
0
15%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Mara Sugar Goals
0
60%
1
31%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 92% | 9% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 70% | 30% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 45% | 55% | - |
| 3.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total2.5
Over 3.524%
BTTS Yes49%
Home Clean Sheet37%
Away Clean Sheet23%
Top Correct Scores:
1-0 (13%)
1-1 (12%)
2-0 (9%)
2-1 (9%)
0-0 (9%)
0-1 (9%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.87
Nairobi Unitedvs
0.52
Mara SugarDecision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum85%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#6
Nairobi Uniā¦+5
Gap#11
Mara Sugar
WR 25% 5 pts
WR 0% 1 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nairobi United | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| Mara Sugar | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Nairobi United
14.0%
| May 01 | Nairobiā¦ v Homeboyz | 2-0 |
| Apr 12 | Nairobiā¦ v KCB | 0-0 |
| Mar 16 | Nairobiā¦ v APS Bomā¦ | 0-0 |
| Mar 08 | Nairobiā¦ v Tusker | 1-1 |
| Nov 17 | Nairobiā¦ v APS Bomā¦ | 1-0 |
| Jun 07 | Nairobiā¦ v Mathareā¦ | 2-3 |
| Jun 02 | Nairobiā¦ v Mara Suā¦ | 1-0 |
| Dec 16 | Nairobiā¦ v Mara Suā¦ | 0-2 |
| Nov 15 | Nairobiā¦ v Mathareā¦ | 2-0 |
Mara Sugar
10.0%
| May 25 | Mara Suā¦ v Police | 1-1 |
| May 18 | Mara Suā¦ v Shabana | 0-1 |
| May 04 | Mara Suā¦ v Ulinzi ā¦ | 1-1 |
| Apr 27 | Mara Suā¦ v Gor Mahā¦ | 4-0 |
| Apr 06 | Mara Suā¦ v Tusker | 1-1 |
| Mar 28 | Mara Suā¦ v Mathareā¦ | 2-1 |
| Mar 16 | Mara Suā¦ v Bidco Uā¦ | 0-0 |
| Mar 01 | Mara Suā¦ v Sofapaka | 1-1 |
| Feb 19 | Mara Suā¦ v Posta Rā¦ | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | Mara Suā¦ v Homeboyz | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Jun 02, 2024 | Mara Sugar | 1-0 | Nairobi United |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Nairobi United | 0-2 | Mara Sugar |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.