Roraimense · Mar 06, 2026 23:00

Progresso
PWR 35

Rio Negro RR
PWR 35

Progresso
PWR 35
1-0
predicted

Rio Negro RR
PWR 35
49% H
24% D
27% A
Final Verdict
Progresso Win
Prediction
1-0
Score
42%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
0-1 (13%)
1-1 (13%)
0-0 (10%)
1-0 (10%)
0-2 (8%)
1-2 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 5% = 35.1% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 2/4 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (26.8%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Progresso Form
WLLLL
STABLE
Rio Negro RR Form
LLLLD
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.539%
BTTS45%
Under 2.561%
Progresso Goals
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
2%
Rio Negro RR Goals
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 82% | 18% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 60% | 40% | - |
| 3.5 | 38% | 62% | - |
| 4.5 | 21% | 80% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total3.1
Over 3.538%
BTTS Yes57%
Home Clean Sheet12%
Away Clean Sheet36%
Top Correct Scores:
1-2 (10%)
0-2 (10%)
1-1 (10%)
0-1 (9%)
1-3 (7%)
0-3 (7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Progressovs
1.28
Rio Negro RRDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings53%
Market50%
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#6
Progresso+1
Gap#7
Rio Negro RR
WR 25% 3 pts
WR 20% 3 pts
Progresso
4.0%
| Feb 28 | Progres… v Rio Neg… | 3-1 |
| Feb 15 | Progres… v GAS | 0-3 |
| Feb 03 | Progres… v Monte R… | 1-2 |
| Jan 27 | Progres… v São Rai… | 5-0 |
| Mar 26 | Progres… v Baré | 0-7 |
| Mar 18 | Progres… v Monte R… | 0-2 |
| Mar 11 | Progres… v Atlétic… | 0-0 |
| Mar 07 | Progres… v São Rai… | 3-0 |
| Mar 04 | Progres… v Náutico… | 5-0 |
| Feb 26 | Progres… v Rio Neg… | 0-0 |
Rio Negro RR
2.0%
| Feb 28 | Rio Neg… v Baré | 2-1 |
| Feb 28 | Rio Neg… v Progres… | 3-1 |
| Feb 21 | Rio Neg… v Monte R… | 3-0 |
| Feb 16 | Rio Neg… v Rio Neg… | 0-2 |
| Feb 11 | Rio Neg… v São Rai… | 2-2 |
| Feb 04 | Rio Neg… v Atlétic… | 1-2 |
| Feb 01 | Rio Neg… v São Rai… | 2-1 |
| Jan 28 | Rio Neg… v Náutico… | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | Rio Neg… v GAS | 2-2 |
| Mar 21 | Rio Neg… v São Rai… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Feb 28, 2026 | Progresso | 3-1 | Rio Negro RR |
| Feb 26, 2025 | Rio Negro RR | 0-0 | Progresso |
| Apr 24, 2024 | Rio Negro RR | 6-0 | Progresso |
| May 13, 2023 | Progresso | 4-4 | Rio Negro RR |
Key Factors
Progresso struggling (4L in last 5)
Rio Negro RR struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.