EFL Trophy · Feb 24, 2026 19:00

Luton
PWR 0

Plymouth
PWR 33

Luton
PWR 0
2 - 1
FT

Plymouth
PWR 33
41% H
26% D
33% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Plymouth to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
0-1
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (12%)
0-1 (9%)
1-0 (9%)
1-2 (8%)
2-1 (8%)
0-0 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): EFL Trophy
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense0
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack37
Defense57
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.4
Luton Form
DLLWW
STABLE
Plymouth Form
WWWLL
UP
Key Players
Luton
No player data
Plymouth
Aribim Pepple
7.31G
Ronan Curtis
7.0
Caleb Watts
6.21G
Brendan Sarpong-W…
6.71A
Mathias Ross
6.61A
Score & Markets
Over 2.551%
BTTS55%
Under 2.549%
Luton Goals
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Plymouth Goals
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 51% | 49% | - |
| 3.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total2.7
Over 3.529%
BTTS Yes54%
Home Clean Sheet22%
Away Clean Sheet30%
Top Correct Scores:
1-1 (12%)
0-1 (10%)
1-2 (9%)
1-0 (8%)
0-2 (8%)
2-1 (7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Lutonvs
1.36
PlymouthDecision Breakdown
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings82%
Market47%
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Luton+1
Gap#2
Plymouth
WR 100% 6 pts
WR 0% 6 pts
Luton
10.0%
| Feb 21 | Luton v Burton … | 1-1 |
| Feb 18 | Luton v Wigan | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Luton v Cardiff | 3-1 |
| Feb 07 | Luton v Bradford | 2-1 |
| Jan 31 | Luton v Blackpo… | 1-0 |
| Jan 27 | Luton v Hudders… | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | Luton v Plymouth | 1-0 |
| Jan 17 | Luton v Lincoln | 2-2 |
| Jan 13 | Luton v Swindon… | 1-2 |
| Jan 10 | Luton v Stevena… | 2-1 |
Plymouth
12.0%
| Feb 21 | Plymouth v Cardiff | 5-2 |
| Feb 17 | Plymouth v Leyton … | 1-3 |
| Feb 14 | Plymouth v Blackpo… | 0-4 |
| Feb 07 | Plymouth v Lincoln | 1-4 |
| Jan 31 | Plymouth v Stockpo… | 2-1 |
| Jan 27 | Plymouth v Mansfie… | 1-1 |
| Jan 24 | Plymouth v Luton | 1-0 |
| Jan 17 | Plymouth v Peterbo… | 0-1 |
| Jan 13 | Plymouth v Bristol… | 3-4 |
| Jan 04 | Plymouth v Burton … | 3-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Jan 24, 2026 | Plymouth | 1-0 | Luton |
Key Factors
Plymouth in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.