Cup · Feb 11, 2026 16:00
Ludogorets Razgrad
PWR 70
CSKA Sofia
PWR 57
Ludogorets Razgrad
PWR 70
1 - 0
FT
CSKA Sofia
PWR 57
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-1 (14%)1-1 (12%)0-2 (10%)0-0 (10%)1-2 (9%)1-0 (8%)
WRONG 1-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
41%
Under 2.5
59%
BTTS
No 45%
Over 3.5
18%
Team Comparison
70Attack48
70Defense65
Goals/G
2.01.4
Conc/G
0.91.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Ludogorets Raz…
WLWLW
STABLE
CSKA Sofia
WLWWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 5/10 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH risk
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88
Ludogorets Raz…vs
1.47
CSKA SofiaGoal Probability
Ludogorets …
0
42%
1
37%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
CSKA Sofia
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
5%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (13%)1-1 (13%)0-0 (11%)0-1 (11%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 89% | 11% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 65% | 35% | - |
| 2.5 | 38% | 62% | - |
| 3.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Ludogorets …-3
Gap#1
CSKA Sofia
WR 71% 16 pts
WR 59% 40 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ludogorets Ra… | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 16 |
| CSKA Sofia | 22 | 13 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 22 | 40 |
Ludogorets Raz…
12.0%
| Feb 07 | Ludogor… v Lokomot… | 1-3 |
| Feb 03 | Ludogor… v CSKA So… | 0-1 |
| Jan 29 | Ludogor… v Nice | 1-0 |
| Jan 22 | Ludogor… v Rangers… | 1-0 |
| Dec 19 | Ludogor… v Beroe | 0-4 |
| Dec 15 | Ludogor… v Septemv… | 1-3 |
| Dec 11 | Ludogor… v PAOK | 3-3 |
| Dec 08 | Ludogor… v CSKA So… | 1-1 |
| Dec 04 | Ludogor… v Dobrudz… | 0-2 |
| Nov 30 | Ludogor… v Botev V… | 2-0 |
CSKA Sofia
16.0%
| Feb 10 | CSKA So… v CSKA 19… | 2-0 |
| Feb 08 | CSKA So… v Lokomot… | 0-2 |
| Feb 07 | CSKA So… v Botev V… | 3-1 |
| Feb 06 | CSKA So… v Arda Ka… | 3-1 |
| Feb 03 | CSKA So… v Ludogor… | 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | CSKA So… v Dunav R… | 3-1 |
| Jan 28 | CSKA So… v Vihren | 3-1 |
| Jan 25 | CSKA So… v AS Tren… | 2-1 |
| Jan 21 | CSKA So… v Zaglebi… | 0-0 |
| Jan 17 | CSKA So… v Vojvodi… | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Feb 03, 2026 | Ludogorets Ra… | 0-1 | CSKA Sofia |
| Dec 08, 2025 | Ludogorets Ra… | 1-1 | CSKA Sofia |
| Oct 05, 2025 | CSKA Sofia | 0-0 | Ludogorets Ra… |
| Sep 19, 2025 | CSKA Sofia | 0-0 | Ludogorets Ra… |
| Aug 09, 2025 | CSKA Sofia | 0-3 | Ludogorets Ra… |
| May 22, 2025 | Ludogorets Ra… | 1-0 | CSKA Sofia |
| May 17, 2025 | CSKA Sofia | 2-2 | Ludogorets Ra… |
| May 03, 2025 | Ludogorets Ra… | 1-1 | CSKA Sofia |
| Feb 09, 2025 | CSKA Sofia | 2-1 | Ludogorets Ra… |
| Dec 01, 2024 | Ludogorets Ra… | 2-0 | CSKA Sofia |
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player
40%
Momentum
42%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Ludogorets Razgrad in strong form (3W in last 5)
CSKA Sofia in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.