Carioca - 1 · Mar 08, 2026 19:00

Nova Iguaçu
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Sampaio Corrêa
PWR 35
37% H 27% D 36% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (7%) 2-2 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 1-1 (5%) 1-2 (5%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Carioca
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Nova Iguaçu Form DDDLD
STABLE
Sampaio Corrêa Form LWDWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.577%
BTTS80%
Under 2.523%
Nova Iguaçu Goals
0
7%
1
18%
2
24%
3
22%
4
15%
Sampaio Cor… Goals
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 95% 5% OVER
1.5 80% 20% OVER
2.5 58% 42% -
3.5 36% 64% -
4.5 19% 81% UNDER
5.5 9% 91% UNDER
6.5 4% 97% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total3.0
Over 3.536%
BTTS Yes61%
Home Clean Sheet23%
Away Clean Sheet21%
Top Correct Scores:
1-1 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 1-2 (8%) 1-0 (8%) 0-1 (7%) 2-2 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.71
Nova Iguaçu
vs
1.94
Sampaio Corrêa
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum71%
Standings47%
Market50%
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
Nova Iguaçu
+1
Gap
#6
Sampaio Cor…
WR 17% 5 pts WR 33% 7 pts
Nova Iguaçu 8.0%
Mar 01 Nova Ig… v Maricá 2-2
Feb 26 Nova Ig… v Portugu… 1-1
Feb 23 Nova Ig… v Sampaio… 1-1
Feb 16 Nova Ig… v Maricá 0-1
Feb 11 Nova Ig… v Portugu… 1-1
Feb 08 Nova Ig… v Portugu… 1-0
Jan 30 Nova Ig… v Bangu 1-2
Jan 26 Nova Ig… v Volta R… 2-2
Jan 23 Nova Ig… v Flumine… 2-3
Jan 18 Nova Ig… v Vasco D… 0-0
Sampaio Corrêa 12.0%
Mar 02 Sampaio… v Portugu… 2-0
Feb 26 Sampaio… v Maricá 2-1
Feb 23 Sampaio… v Nova Ig… 1-1
Feb 20 Sampaio… v Portugu… 3-2
Feb 17 Sampaio… v Desport… 1-1
Feb 12 Sampaio… v Maricá 0-4
Feb 08 Sampaio… v Flamengo 7-1
Jan 30 Sampaio… v Boavista 1-1
Jan 27 Sampaio… v Maricá 0-1
Jan 22 Sampaio… v Madurei… 2-1
Head-to-Head (2)
Feb 23, 2026 Sampaio Corrêa 1-1 Nova Iguaçu
Jan 15, 2026 Sampaio Corrêa 1-3 Nova Iguaçu
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.