Super Cup · Feb 16, 2026 13:15

Kauno Žalgiris
PWR 0
1 - 0
FT

Panevėžys
PWR 0
35% H 27% D 38% A
Final Verdict
Kauno Žalgiris Win
Prediction
N/A
Score
42%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
3-1 (7%) 3-0 (5%) 2-1 (5%) 3-2 (4%) 2-0 (4%) 2-2 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
CORRECT - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Limited data available (Tier 3)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (28.1%) - VETO 1X2 | Tier 3 data without strong odds (need 85%+)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense0
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense0
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Kauno Žalgiris Form DDWLL
STABLE
Panevėžys Form WDWWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.567%
BTTS72%
Under 2.533%
Kauno Žalgi… Goals
0
2%
1
6%
2
13%
3
19%
4
20%
Panevėžys Goals
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 92% 8% OVER
1.5 72% 28% OVER
2.5 47% 53% -
3.5 25% 75% UNDER
4.5 12% 88% UNDER
5.5 5% 96% UNDER
6.5 2% 98% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total2.6
Over 3.525%
BTTS Yes45%
Home Clean Sheet46%
Away Clean Sheet17%
Top Correct Scores:
1-0 (14%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 0-0 (8%) 3-0 (7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
4.17
Kauno Žalgiris
vs
1.30
Panevėžys
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Kauno Žalgiris 8.0%
Jan 30 Kauno Ž… v Dynamo … 0-0
Nov 08 Kauno Ž… v Banga 0-0
Nov 02 Kauno Ž… v Panevėž… 3-2
Oct 27 Kauno Ž… v Sūduva … 1-0
Oct 22 Kauno Ž… v FK Zalg… 1-2
Oct 17 Kauno Ž… v Šiauliai 3-1
Oct 04 Kauno Ž… v Dainava 0-1
Oct 01 Kauno Ž… v Hegelma… 1-1
Sep 24 Kauno Ž… v Sūduva … 1-1
Sep 21 Kauno Ž… v Džiugas… 2-1
Panevėžys 14.0%
Feb 07 Panevėž… v Metta /… 2-1
Jan 31 Panevėž… v Tukums 0-0
Nov 09 Panevėž… v Kauno Ž… 4-3
Nov 08 Panevėž… v FK Zalg… 3-1
Nov 02 Panevėž… v Kauno Ž… 3-2
Oct 31 Panevėž… v BFA 2-0
Oct 26 Panevėž… v Džiugas… 1-4
Oct 24 Panevėž… v Ekranas… 0-2
Oct 22 Panevėž… v FK Trak… 0-1
Oct 18 Panevėž… v Atmosfe… 4-1
Head-to-Head (4)
Nov 02, 2025 Kauno Žalgiris 3-2 Panevėžys
Aug 24, 2025 Panevėžys 1-0 Kauno Žalgiris
Jun 24, 2025 Kauno Žalgiris 3-0 Panevėžys
Apr 19, 2025 Panevėžys 0-2 Kauno Žalgiris
Key Factors
Panevėžys in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.