Liga Nacional · Mar 09, 2026 01:30

Lobos Upnfm
PWR 34
1-1
predicted
Juticalpa
PWR 31
51% H 24% D 25% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (18%) 1-0 (16%) 3-0 (14%) 0-0 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 1-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 2% = 35.1% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.2
Power & Form
Attack37
Defense40
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G1.7
Attack38
Defense30
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G2.0
Lobos Upnfm Form WWLDL
STABLE
Juticalpa Form WLLLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.547%
BTTS28%
Under 2.553%
Lobos Upnfm Goals
0
10%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Juticalpa Goals
0
68%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 96% 4% OVER
1.5 83% 17% OVER
2.5 62% 38% -
3.5 39% 61% -
4.5 22% 78% UNDER
5.5 10% 90% UNDER
6.5 4% 96% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total3.2
Over 3.539%
BTTS Yes48%
Home Clean Sheet47%
Away Clean Sheet9%
Top Correct Scores:
2-0 (12%) 1-0 (10%) 3-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-1 (8%)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.27
Lobos Upnfm
vs
0.38
Juticalpa
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum92%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#7
Lobos Upnfm
+3
Gap
#10
Juticalpa
WR 23% 67 pts WR 25% 48 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Lobos Upnfm691619347311867
Juticalpa48121224529648
Lobos Upnfm 10.0%
Mar 02 Lobos U… v Génesis 0-2
Feb 26 Lobos U… v Platens… 1-0
Feb 21 Lobos U… v Real Es… 4-3
Feb 12 Lobos U… v Victoria 2-2
Feb 07 Lobos U… v CD Olim… 0-1
Feb 02 Lobos U… v Olancho 1-1
Jan 29 Lobos U… v Atlétic… 1-1
Jan 25 Lobos U… v CD Mara… 1-1
Dec 07 Lobos U… v Real Es… 0-0
Dec 04 Lobos U… v CD Mara… 2-0
Juticalpa 6.0%
Mar 01 Jutical… v Victoria 1-0
Feb 25 Jutical… v CD Mota… 1-2
Feb 22 Jutical… v Platens… 4-0
Feb 14 Jutical… v Olancho 4-1
Feb 12 Jutical… v Real Es… 1-1
Feb 07 Jutical… v Génesis 1-1
Feb 01 Jutical… v CD Olim… 2-2
Jan 29 Jutical… v CD Mara… 3-0
Jan 24 Jutical… v Atlétic… 1-0
Dec 07 Jutical… v CD Mota… 1-7
Head-to-Head (6)
Nov 22, 2025 Lobos Upnfm 1-0 Juticalpa
Aug 31, 2025 Juticalpa 0-2 Lobos Upnfm
Mar 29, 2025 Lobos Upnfm 1-0 Juticalpa
Jan 29, 2025 Juticalpa 1-0 Lobos Upnfm
Nov 06, 2024 Juticalpa 3-0 Lobos Upnfm
Aug 31, 2024 Lobos Upnfm 4-1 Juticalpa
Key Factors
Juticalpa struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.