Primera División - Apertura · Mar 01, 2026 22:30
Club Nacional
PWR 35
Peñarol Montevideo
PWR 35
Club Nacional
PWR 35
0 - 1
FT
Peñarol Montevideo
PWR 35
51% H
24% D
25% A
Final Verdict
Club Nacional Win
Prediction
1-1
Score
42%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (33%)
1-0 (23%)
0-1 (13%)
1-1 (9%)
2-0 (8%)
2-1 (3%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy38%
HOME_STREAK
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 50% at home = very high riskPoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 5/10 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 75% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (33.5%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Club Nacional Form
WDWDW
STABLE
Peñarol Montev… Form
WLWDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.510%
BTTS17%
Under 2.590%
Club Nacion… Goals
0
49%
1
35%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
Peñarol Mon… Goals
0
66%
1
27%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 63% | 37% | - |
| 1.5 | 26% | 74% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total1.0
Over 3.52%
BTTS Yes15%
Home Clean Sheet62%
Away Clean Sheet60%
Top Correct Scores:
0-0 (37%)
1-0 (19%)
0-1 (18%)
1-1 (9%)
2-0 (5%)
0-2 (4%)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.71
Club Nacionalvs
0.41
Peñarol Montev…Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings42%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#7
Club Nacion…-4
Gap#3
Peñarol Mon…
WR 0% 7 pts
WR 50% 9 pts
Club Nacional
16.0%
| Feb 21 | Club Na… v Progreso | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | Club Na… v Racing … | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Club Na… v Boston … | 1-2 |
| Feb 01 | Club Na… v Peñarol… | 0-0 |
| Jan 25 | Club Na… v Concepc… | 1-0 |
| Jan 22 | Club Na… v Progreso | 1-1 |
| Jan 17 | Club Na… v Cerro L… | 1-1 |
| Jan 14 | Club Na… v Deporti… | 0-0 |
| Nov 30 | Club Na… v Peñarol… | 1-0 |
| Nov 23 | Club Na… v Peñarol… | 2-2 |
Peñarol Montev…
12.0%
| Feb 22 | Peñarol… v Deporti… | 2-1 |
| Feb 15 | Peñarol… v Central… | 2-1 |
| Feb 07 | Peñarol… v Atletic… | 3-1 |
| Feb 01 | Peñarol… v Club Na… | 0-0 |
| Jan 23 | Peñarol… v Boston … | 2-2 |
| Jan 22 | Peñarol… v Colo-Co… | 1-1 |
| Jan 20 | Peñarol… v Racing … | 1-0 |
| Jan 18 | Peñarol… v River P… | 0-0 |
| Jan 18 | Peñarol… v River P… | 0-0 |
| Jan 13 | Peñarol… v Albion … | 0-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Feb 01, 2026 | Peñarol Monte… | 0-0 | Club Nacional |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Club Nacional | 1-0 | Peñarol Monte… |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Peñarol Monte… | 2-2 | Club Nacional |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Club Nacional | 3-1 | Peñarol Monte… |
| Aug 09, 2025 | Peñarol Monte… | 3-0 | Club Nacional |
| Jul 06, 2025 | Peñarol Monte… | 0-0 | Club Nacional |
| Feb 09, 2025 | Club Nacional | 1-1 | Peñarol Monte… |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Peñarol Monte… | 2-1 | Club Nacional |
| Oct 06, 2024 | Club Nacional | 2-1 | Peñarol Monte… |
| Aug 04, 2024 | Peñarol Monte… | 1-1 | Club Nacional |
Key Factors
Club Nacional in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.