Liga MX · Mar 09, 2026 01:00

Toluca
PWR 35
3-1
predicted

FC Juarez
PWR 35
59% H 22% D 19% A
Final Verdict
Toluca Win
Prediction
3-1
Score
77%
Confidence
PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (18%) 1-0 (15%) 3-0 (14%) 2-1 (7%) 0-0 (6%) 1-1 (6%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 4 rules · 77%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy77%
FORM_MOMENTUMFORM_DOMINANTPOSITION_GAPTABLE_EXTREMES
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)H2H: 1/3 draws (33%) = HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (29.7%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Toluca Form DWWWD
STABLE
FC Juarez Form WLLLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.549%
BTTS29%
Under 2.551%
Toluca Goals
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
FC Juarez Goals
0
68%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 92% 8% OVER
1.5 72% 28% OVER
2.5 46% 54% -
3.5 25% 75% UNDER
4.5 11% 89% UNDER
5.5 4% 96% UNDER
6.5 2% 99% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total2.5
Over 3.525%
BTTS Yes39%
Home Clean Sheet54%
Away Clean Sheet15%
Top Correct Scores:
1-0 (15%) 2-0 (15%) 1-1 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 2-1 (9%) 0-0 (8%)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.40
Toluca
vs
0.38
FC Juarez
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings90%
Market50%
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Toluca
+13
Gap
#15
FC Juarez
WR 75% 18 pts WR 33% 7 pts
Toluca 16.0%
Mar 04 Toluca v U.N.A.M… 0-0
Feb 28 Toluca v Guadala… 2-0
Feb 22 Toluca v Necaxa 0-3
Feb 14 Toluca v Club Ti… 1-0
Feb 07 Toluca v Cruz Az… 1-1
Jan 31 Toluca v Puebla 0-0
Jan 18 Toluca v Tigres … 0-0
Jan 15 Toluca v Santos … 3-1
Jan 11 Toluca v Monterr… 0-1
Dec 15 Toluca v Tigres … 2-1
FC Juarez 6.0%
Feb 28 FC Juar… v Atlas 3-1
Feb 15 FC Juar… v Necaxa 1-2
Feb 08 FC Juar… v Pachuca 2-0
Jan 31 FC Juar… v Cruz Az… 3-4
Jan 18 FC Juar… v Santos … 2-2
Jan 14 FC Juar… v Guadala… 0-1
Jan 10 FC Juar… v Mazatlá… 1-2
Nov 30 FC Juar… v Toluca 0-0
Nov 27 FC Juar… v Toluca 1-2
Nov 24 FC Juar… v Pachuca 2-1
Head-to-Head (3)
Nov 30, 2025 Toluca 0-0 FC Juarez
Nov 27, 2025 FC Juarez 1-2 Toluca
Aug 12, 2025 FC Juarez 0-2 Toluca
Key Factors
Toluca in strong form (3W in last 5)
FC Juarez struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.