Liga MX · Mar 09, 2026 01:00

Toluca
PWR 35

FC Juarez
PWR 35

Toluca
PWR 35
3-1
predicted

FC Juarez
PWR 35
59% H
22% D
19% A
Final Verdict
Toluca Win
Prediction
3-1
Score
77%
Confidence
PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (18%)
1-0 (15%)
3-0 (14%)
2-1 (7%)
0-0 (6%)
1-1 (6%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 4 rules · 77%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy77%
FORM_MOMENTUMFORM_DOMINANTPOSITION_GAPTABLE_EXTREMES
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)H2H: 1/3 draws (33%) = HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (29.7%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Toluca Form
DWWWD
STABLE
FC Juarez Form
WLLLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.549%
BTTS29%
Under 2.551%
Toluca Goals
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
FC Juarez Goals
0
68%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 72% | 28% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 46% | 54% | - |
| 3.5 | 25% | 75% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 99% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total2.5
Over 3.525%
BTTS Yes39%
Home Clean Sheet54%
Away Clean Sheet15%
Top Correct Scores:
1-0 (15%)
2-0 (15%)
1-1 (9%)
3-0 (9%)
2-1 (9%)
0-0 (8%)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.40
Tolucavs
0.38
FC JuarezDecision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings90%
Market50%
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Toluca+13
Gap#15
FC Juarez
WR 75% 18 pts
WR 33% 7 pts
Toluca
16.0%
| Mar 04 | Toluca v U.N.A.M… | 0-0 |
| Feb 28 | Toluca v Guadala… | 2-0 |
| Feb 22 | Toluca v Necaxa | 0-3 |
| Feb 14 | Toluca v Club Ti… | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Toluca v Cruz Az… | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Toluca v Puebla | 0-0 |
| Jan 18 | Toluca v Tigres … | 0-0 |
| Jan 15 | Toluca v Santos … | 3-1 |
| Jan 11 | Toluca v Monterr… | 0-1 |
| Dec 15 | Toluca v Tigres … | 2-1 |
FC Juarez
6.0%
| Feb 28 | FC Juar… v Atlas | 3-1 |
| Feb 15 | FC Juar… v Necaxa | 1-2 |
| Feb 08 | FC Juar… v Pachuca | 2-0 |
| Jan 31 | FC Juar… v Cruz Az… | 3-4 |
| Jan 18 | FC Juar… v Santos … | 2-2 |
| Jan 14 | FC Juar… v Guadala… | 0-1 |
| Jan 10 | FC Juar… v Mazatlá… | 1-2 |
| Nov 30 | FC Juar… v Toluca | 0-0 |
| Nov 27 | FC Juar… v Toluca | 1-2 |
| Nov 24 | FC Juar… v Pachuca | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Nov 30, 2025 | Toluca | 0-0 | FC Juarez |
| Nov 27, 2025 | FC Juarez | 1-2 | Toluca |
| Aug 12, 2025 | FC Juarez | 0-2 | Toluca |
Key Factors
Toluca in strong form (3W in last 5)
FC Juarez struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.