UEFA Champions League · Feb 25, 2026 17:45
Atalanta
PWR 40
Borussia Dortmund
PWR 47
Atalanta
PWR 40
4 - 1
FT
Borussia Dortmund
PWR 47
37% H
27% D
36% A
Final Verdict
Borussia Dortmund Win
Prediction
2-2
Score
42%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (10%)
2-0 (9%)
1-1 (8%)
3-1 (8%)
1-0 (7%)
3-0 (7%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
WRONG - Actual: 4-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUM
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (26.9%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Power & Form
Attack39
Defense74
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G0.9
Attack61
Defense72
Goals/G2.1
Conc/G1.0
Atalanta Form
WLWWL
STABLE
Borussia Dortm… Form
DWWWW
STABLE
Key Players
Atalanta
Marco Carnesecchi
9.9
Éderson
7.5
Lorenzo Bernasconi
7.2
Berat Djimsiti
7.3
Giorgio Scalvini
7.3
Borussia Dortmund
Serhou Guirassy
7.52G
Julian Brandt
7.3
Waldemar Anton
7.91G
Daniel Svensson
7.5
Karim Adeyemi
7.0
Score & Markets
Over 2.564%
BTTS60%
Under 2.536%
Atalanta Goals
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Borussia Do… Goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 88% | 12% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 71% | 29% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 50% | 50% | - |
| 4.5 | 31% | 70% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total3.7
Over 3.550%
BTTS Yes68%
Home Clean Sheet23%
Away Clean Sheet11%
Top Correct Scores:
2-1 (9%)
1-1 (8%)
3-1 (7%)
2-2 (7%)
2-0 (6%)
1-2 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.40
Atalantavs
1.09
Borussia Dortm…Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum84%
Standings61%
Market50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#15
Atalanta+2
Gap#17
Borussia Do…
WR 50% 13 pts
WR 25% 11 pts
Atalanta
12.0%
| Feb 22 | Atalanta v Napoli | 2-1 |
| Feb 17 | Atalanta v Borussi… | 2-0 |
| Feb 14 | Atalanta v Lazio | 0-2 |
| Feb 09 | Atalanta v Cremone… | 2-1 |
| Feb 05 | Atalanta v Juventus | 3-0 |
| Feb 01 | Atalanta v Como | 0-0 |
| Jan 28 | Atalanta v Union S… | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | Atalanta v Parma | 4-0 |
| Jan 21 | Atalanta v Athleti… | 2-3 |
| Jan 16 | Atalanta v Pisa | 1-1 |
Borussia Dortm…
18.0%
| Feb 21 | Borussi… v RB Leip… | 2-2 |
| Feb 17 | Borussi… v Atalanta | 2-0 |
| Feb 13 | Borussi… v FSV Mai… | 4-0 |
| Feb 07 | Borussi… v VfL Wol… | 1-2 |
| Feb 01 | Borussi… v FC Heid… | 3-2 |
| Jan 28 | Borussi… v Inter | 0-2 |
| Jan 24 | Borussi… v Union B… | 0-3 |
| Jan 20 | Borussi… v Tottenh… | 2-0 |
| Jan 17 | Borussi… v FC St. … | 3-2 |
| Jan 13 | Borussi… v Werder … | 3-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Feb 17, 2026 | Borussia Dort… | 2-0 | Atalanta |
Key Factors
Atalanta in strong form (3W in last 5)
Borussia Dortmund in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.