Premier League · Mar 10, 2026 13:00
Mbarara City
PWR 35
Mbarara City
PWR 35
1-2
predicted
Kitara
PWR 35
PWR 35
31%
28%
41%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Kitara Win
Score
1-2
Confidence
74%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (31%)1-0 (30%)2-0 (15%)0-1 (6%)1-1 (6%)3-0 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
11%
Under 2.5
89%
89%
BTTS
No
No 11%
Over 3.5
8%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Mbarara City
LLWDL
DOWN
Kitara
DWDWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy88%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUMAWAY_FORM_DOMINANTAWAY_POSITION_GAPAWAY_POINTS_GAPAWAY_TABLE_EXTREMES
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 38% at home = very high riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (26.7%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Mbarara Cityvs
0.20
KitaraGoal Probability
Mbarara City
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
Kitara
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (25%)0-0 (20%)0-2 (16%)1-1 (9%)1-0 (7%)0-3 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 80% | 20% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 49% | 52% | - |
| 2.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 3% | 98% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#14
Mbarara City-12
Gap#2
Kitara
WR 25% 15 pts
WR 50% 36 pts
Mbarara City
6.0%
| Mar 04 | Mbarara… v URA | 2-0 |
| Feb 17 | Mbarara… v Entebbe… | 1-0 |
| Feb 12 | Mbarara… v Calvary | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | Mbarara… v Maroons | 1-1 |
| Jan 28 | Mbarara… v SC Villa | 6-1 |
| Jan 24 | Mbarara… v Lugazi | 0-0 |
| Jan 06 | Mbarara… v Vipers | 2-0 |
| Dec 17 | Mbarara… v URA | 1-0 |
| Dec 13 | Mbarara… v Calvary | 1-1 |
| Dec 03 | Mbarara… v Entebbe… | 1-1 |
Kitara
16.0%
| Mar 06 | Kitara v UPDF | 0-0 |
| Mar 03 | Kitara v Entebbe… | 2-0 |
| Feb 19 | Kitara v URA | 1-1 |
| Feb 12 | Kitara v Maroons | 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | Kitara v Calvary | 0-1 |
| Jan 28 | Kitara v Express | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | Kitara v NEC | 3-3 |
| Jan 07 | Kitara v UPDF | 2-1 |
| Dec 18 | Kitara v Entebbe… | 1-0 |
| Dec 12 | Kitara v Maroons | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Oct 24, 2025 | Kitara | 3-2 | Mbarara City |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
71%
Standings
30%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Kitara in strong form (3W in last 5)
Mbarara City struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.