Premier League · Mar 06, 2026 13:00
BUL
PWR 35
BUL
PWR 35
0 - 0
FT
Calvary
PWR 35
PWR 35
55%
23%
22%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
1X (Home/Draw)
Double Chance · Odds imply 68% home + 21% draw = 89% combined
92%
accuracy
1.18x
Final Verdict
Prediction
BUL Win
Score
2-0
Confidence
50%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (20%)3-0 (18%)1-0 (15%)0-0 (6%)2-1 (4%)3-1 (4%)
WRONG 0-0
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
89%
Home/Draw
1.18x
DC X2
Away/Draw
3.27x
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
BTTS
No
No 17%
Over 3.5
5%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
BUL
WLDWL
STABLE
Calvary
LDLLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk24%
Accuracy56%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
Full data available (Tier 1)Home team draws 33% at home = very high riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskElevated draw risk (23.7%) - consider AHElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got STANDARD/2 rules)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.70
BULvs
0.20
CalvaryGoal Probability
BUL
0
7%
1
18%
2
25%
3
22%
4
15%
Calvary
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (26%)1-0 (21%)0-1 (14%)1-1 (11%)2-0 (9%)2-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 74% | 26% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 38% | 62% | - |
| 2.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#8
BUL+8
Gap#16
Calvary
WR 33% 23 pts
WR 0% 5 pts
BUL
10.0%
| Mar 03 | BUL v Police | 0-2 |
| Feb 18 | BUL v KCCA | 2-1 |
| Feb 13 | BUL v Vipers | 1-1 |
| Jan 30 | BUL v UPDF | 0-1 |
| Jan 27 | BUL v Lugazi | 2-1 |
| Jan 23 | BUL v SC Villa | 2-1 |
| Jan 07 | BUL v Calvary | 0-1 |
| Dec 16 | BUL v Police | 1-3 |
| Dec 13 | BUL v Vipers | 3-1 |
| Dec 07 | BUL v KCCA | 1-2 |
Calvary
4.0%
| Mar 02 | Calvary v SC Villa | 0-1 |
| Feb 18 | Calvary v Express | 0-0 |
| Feb 12 | Calvary v Mbarara… | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | Calvary v Kitara | 0-1 |
| Jan 27 | Calvary v URA | 0-0 |
| Jan 21 | Calvary v Police | 2-0 |
| Jan 07 | Calvary v BUL | 0-1 |
| Dec 17 | Calvary v SC Villa | 1-0 |
| Dec 13 | Calvary v Mbarara… | 1-1 |
| Dec 09 | Calvary v Vipers | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Jan 07, 2026 | Calvary | 0-1 | BUL |
Decision Breakdown
ODDS60+M70 (77.4%)M85+S60 (75.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
72%
Market
69%
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Calvary struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.