Premier League · Mar 06, 2026 13:00
Lugazi
PWR 35
PWR 35
0 - 0
FT
NEC
PWR 35
PWR 35
37%
27%
36%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Lugazi Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (20%)2-0 (15%)0-0 (13%)1-1 (10%)2-1 (8%)3-0 (8%)
WRONG 0-0
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%
67%
BTTS
No
No 32%
Over 3.5
3%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Lugazi
LWLDW
STABLE
NEC
WDWDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk33%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 38% at home = very high riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskAway draws 44% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 82% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (32.9%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Lugazivs
0.53
NECGoal Probability
Lugazi
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
NEC
0
59%
1
31%
2
8%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (31%)0-1 (24%)1-0 (12%)1-1 (10%)0-2 (9%)1-2 (4%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 69% | 31% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#11
Lugazi-4
Gap#7
NEC
WR 50% 18 pts
WR 22% 27 pts
Lugazi
10.0%
| Mar 03 | Lugazi v Vipers | 3-0 |
| Feb 18 | Lugazi v UPDF | 1-0 |
| Feb 12 | Lugazi v Police | 2-1 |
| Jan 31 | Lugazi v SC Villa | 0-0 |
| Jan 27 | Lugazi v BUL | 2-1 |
| Jan 24 | Lugazi v Mbarara… | 0-0 |
| Jan 07 | Lugazi v NEC | 1-0 |
| Dec 17 | Lugazi v Vipers | 1-2 |
| Dec 10 | Lugazi v Police | 1-1 |
| Dec 05 | Lugazi v UPDF | 2-0 |
NEC
16.0%
| Mar 03 | NEC v UPDF | 1-0 |
| Feb 17 | NEC v Vipers | 1-1 |
| Feb 13 | NEC v KCCA | 3-1 |
| Jan 31 | NEC v Express | 0-0 |
| Jan 27 | NEC v Buhimba… | 0-1 |
| Jan 24 | NEC v Kitara | 3-3 |
| Jan 07 | NEC v Lugazi | 1-0 |
| Dec 16 | NEC v UPDF | 0-0 |
| Dec 12 | NEC v KCCA | 2-1 |
| Dec 05 | NEC v Vipers | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Jan 07, 2026 | NEC | 1-0 | Lugazi |
| Mar 01, 2025 | NEC | 2-0 | Lugazi |
| Oct 30, 2024 | Lugazi | 1-0 | NEC |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
80%
Standings
42%
Market
50%
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
NEC in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.