Premier League · Mar 04, 2026 14:00
URA
PWR 35
Mbarara City
PWR 35
URA
PWR 35
2 - 0
FT
Mbarara City
PWR 35
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
URA Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (11%)2-0 (8%)3-1 (6%)2-1 (4%)1-0 (4%)1-1 (2%)
CORRECT 2-0
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
61%
61%
Under 2.5
39%
BTTS
No 42%
Over 3.5
4%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
URA
DDDDL
STABLE
Mbarara City
LWDLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk38%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 40% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 4/9 draws (44%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 4/5 recent gamesCombined DR 70% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (37.5%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
4.16
URAvs
0.56
Mbarara CityGoal Probability
URA
0
2%
1
7%
2
14%
3
19%
4
20%
Mbarara City
0
57%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (29%)1-0 (23%)0-1 (12%)1-1 (10%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (4%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 71% | 29% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 35% | 65% | - |
| 2.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#12
URA+2
Gap#14
Mbarara City
WR 30% 18 pts
WR 10% 15 pts
URA
8.0%
| Feb 19 | URA v Kitara | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | URA v SC Villa | 0-0 |
| Jan 31 | URA v Police | 0-0 |
| Jan 27 | URA v Calvary | 0-0 |
| Jan 24 | URA v Vipers | 0-3 |
| Jan 13 | URA v Entebbe… | 0-1 |
| Dec 17 | URA v Mbarara… | 1-0 |
| Dec 11 | URA v SC Villa | 3-0 |
| Dec 04 | URA v Kitara | 0-1 |
| Nov 26 | URA v Buhimba… | 7-3 |
Mbarara City
8.0%
| Feb 17 | Mbarara… v Entebbe… | 1-0 |
| Feb 12 | Mbarara… v Calvary | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | Mbarara… v Maroons | 1-1 |
| Jan 28 | Mbarara… v SC Villa | 6-1 |
| Jan 24 | Mbarara… v Lugazi | 0-0 |
| Jan 06 | Mbarara… v Vipers | 2-0 |
| Dec 17 | Mbarara… v URA | 1-0 |
| Dec 13 | Mbarara… v Calvary | 1-1 |
| Dec 03 | Mbarara… v Entebbe… | 1-1 |
| Nov 28 | Mbarara… v KCCA | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Dec 17, 2025 | Mbarara City | 1-0 | URA |
| Apr 04, 2025 | Mbarara City | 0-2 | URA |
| Sep 28, 2024 | URA | 1-1 | Mbarara City |
| May 07, 2024 | Mbarara City | 0-0 | URA |
| Dec 29, 2023 | URA | 3-0 | Mbarara City |
| Mar 03, 2022 | Mbarara City | 0-0 | URA |
| Dec 22, 2021 | URA | 2-0 | Mbarara City |
| Apr 27, 2021 | URA | 2-0 | Mbarara City |
| Dec 04, 2020 | Mbarara City | 1-1 | URA |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
59%
Market
30%
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.